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	<title>Bioethics International &#187; World News &#8211; Home</title>
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	<description>Where Healthcare, Life Science &#38; Ethics Meet</description>
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		<title>Pandemic Influenza Triage in the Clinical Setting- Editorial by Jennifer Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/29/pandemic-influenza-triage-in-the-clinical-setting-editorial-by-jennifer-miller/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/29/pandemic-influenza-triage-in-the-clinical-setting-editorial-by-jennifer-miller/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jul 2010 09:00:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BEI News & Events - Home]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resource Allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk Exposure & Bioethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Triage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World News - Home]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World News - News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1846</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[Prehospital and Disaster Medicine]  There have been great efforts on the federal and local levels to prepare for the specter of a severe influenza pandemic, however knowledge gaps and operational challenges remain. It is critical to assess if current top-down efforts actually are improving and/or likely to improve the ability of on-the-ground clinicians to respond [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<span style="font-family: ACaslonPro-Semibold; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ACaslonPro-Semibold; font-size: xx-small;"><a href="http://pdm.medicine.wisc.edu/Volume_25/issue_2/miller.pdf"><strong>Prehospital and Disaster Medicine</strong></a>]  </span></span>There have been great efforts on the federal and local levels to prepare for the specter of a severe influenza pandemic, however knowledge gaps and operational challenges remain. It is critical to assess if current top-down efforts actually are improving and/or likely to improve the ability of on-the-ground clinicians to respond effectively, efficiently, and ethically to the formidable healthcare challenges of a severe influenza pandemic. Because severe pandemics involve acute <em>shortages of resources</em>, such as ventilators, beds, and clinical staff, a formidable challenge will include planning for and responding to the ethical questions of <em>who will receive resources and care, when and under what conditions?</em>  Hospital clinicians, and in particular, emergency physicians, will be at the forefront of these decisions which will require more than mere technical consideration of survival probabilities and resource capabilities.  Rottman and co-authors of the study, “Pandemic Influenza Triage in the Clinical Setting”  are to be commended for recognizing the need not only to study the efficacy  of current planning efforts on the hospital level, but to particularly focus on the preparedness and willingness of hospital clinicians to make the necessary ethical decisions.</p>
<p>The study results are striking. By surveying 46 healthcare professionals, Rottman and co-authors highlight that hospital clinicians are unaware of the general and ethical challenges that occur during a pandemic. Moreover, the study shows that when hospital clinicians are made aware of the potential challenges, including triage and resource allocation decision scenarios, they are “quickly overwhelmed” and unable to reason through the scenarios and/or draw upon cohesive and consistent response action plans. This study is immensely helpful in that it demonstrates the acute preparedness and knowledge gaps regarding ethical decision- making, although the results would be statistically stronger with a larger respondent pool. This information is highly relevant because a failure by the clinical community to make ethical decisions in a pandemic not only exposes the clinician and his or her hospital to legal liability, but also is likely to lead to a failure to save the most amount of lives possible. For example, without preparedness in ethical decision-making, a clinician may decide to allocate resources and provide care on a first-come, first-served basis or lottery system. Although these two systems might seem superficially fair, this type of decision-making is not likely to maximize the total number of lives saved. Additionally, because select survey responses extend beyond pandemics to include bioterrorism and disasters generally, the study results may be applicable for consideration in multiple hazard disaster planning.</p>
<p>Continue reading editorial and study results at the journal of <strong><span style="font-family: ACaslonPro-Semibold; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ACaslonPro-Semibold; font-size: xx-small;"><a href="http://pdm.medicine.wisc.edu/Volume_25/issue_2/miller.pdf">Prehospital and Disaster Medicine</a>.</span></span></strong></p>
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		<title>Britain Plans to Decentralize Health Care</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/28/britain-plans-to-decentralize-health-care/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/28/britain-plans-to-decentralize-health-care/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Jul 2010 07:30:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BEI News & Events - News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World News - Home]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World News - News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1838</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[NYTimes] — Perhaps the only consistent thing about Britain’s socialized health care system is that it is in a perpetual state of flux, its structure constantly changing as governments search for the elusive formula that will deliver the best care for the cheapest price while costs and demand escalate. 

Even as the new coalition government [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/25/world/europe/25britain.html?_r=1">NYTimes</a>] — Perhaps the only consistent thing about Britain’s socialized health care system is that it is in a perpetual state of flux, its structure constantly changing as governments search for the elusive formula that will deliver the best care for the cheapest price while costs and demand escalate.<a href="javascript:pop_me_up2('http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2010/07/25/world/25britain.html','25britain_html','width=720,height=556,scrollbars=yes,toolbars=no,resizable=yes')"><img class="alignleft" src="http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2010/07/25/world/25britain/25britain-articleInline.jpg" alt="" width="190" height="129" /> </a></p>
<div>
<p>Even as the new coalition government said it would make enormous cuts in the public sector, it initially promised to leave health care alone. But in one of its most surprising moves so far, it has done the opposite, proposing what would be the most radical reorganization of the <a href="http://www.nhs.uk/Pages/HomePage.aspx">National Health Service</a>, as the system is called, since its inception in 1948.</p>
<p>Practical details of the plan are still sketchy. But its aim is clear: to shift control of England’s $160 billion annual health budget from a centralized bureaucracy to doctors at the local level. Under the plan, $100 billion to $125 billion a year would be meted out to general practitioners, who would use the money to buy services from hospitals and other health care providers.</p>
<p>The plan would also shrink the bureaucratic apparatus, in keeping with the government’s goal to effect $30 billion in “efficiency savings” in the health budget by 2014 and to reduce administrative costs by 45 percent. Tens of thousands of jobs would be lost because layers of bureaucracy would be abolished.</p>
<p>In <a title="The document (PDF)" href="http://www.dh.gov.uk/prod_consum_dh/groups/dh_digitalassets/@dh/@en/@ps/documents/digitalasset/dh_117794.pdf">a document, or white paper, outlining the plan</a>, the government admitted that the changes would “cause significant disruption and loss of jobs.” But it said: “The current architecture of the health system has developed piecemeal, involves duplication and is unwieldy. Liberating the N.H.S., and putting power in the hands of patients and clinicians, means we will be able to effect a radical simplification, and remove layers of management.”<span id="more-1838"></span></p>
<p>The health secretary, Andrew Lansley, also promised to put more power in the hands of patients. Currently, how and where patients are treated, and by whom, is largely determined by decisions made by 150 entities known as primary care trusts — all of which would be abolished under the plan, with some of those choices going to patients. It would also abolish many current government-set targets, like limits on how long patients have to wait for treatment.</p>
<p>The plan, with many elements that need legislative approval to be enacted, applies only to England; other parts of Britain have separate systems.</p>
<p>The government announced the proposals this month. Reactions to them range from pleased to highly skeptical.</p>
<p>Many critics say that the plans are far too ambitious, particularly in the short period of time allotted, and they doubt that general practitioners are the right people to decide how the health care budget should be spent. Currently, the 150 primary care trusts make most of those decisions. Under the proposals, general practitioners would band together in regional consortia to buy services from hospitals and other providers.</p>
<p>It is likely that many such groups would have to spend money to hire outside managers to manage their budgets and negotiate with the providers, thus canceling out some of the savings.</p>
<p>David Furness, head of strategic development at the Social Market Foundation, a study group, said that under the plan, every general practitioner in London would, in effect, be responsible for a $3.4 million budget.</p>
<p>“It’s like getting your waiter to manage a restaurant,” Mr. Furness said. “The government is saying that G.P.’s know what the patient wants, just the way a waiter knows what you want to eat. But a waiter isn’t necessarily any good at ordering stock, managing the premises, talking to the chef — why would they be? They’re waiters.”</p>
<p>But advocacy groups for general practitioners welcomed the proposals.</p>
<p>“One of the great attractions of this is that it will be able to focus on what local people need,” said Prof. Steve Field, chairman of the Royal College of General Practitioners, which represents about 40,000 of the 50,000 general practitioners in the country. “This is about clinicians taking responsibility for making these decisions.”</p>
<p>Dr. Richard Vautrey, deputy chairman of the general practitioner committee at the British Medical Association, said general practitioners had long felt there were “far too many bureaucratic hurdles to leap” in the system, impeding communication. “In many places, the communication between G.P.’s and consultants in hospitals has become fragmented and distant,” he said.</p>
<p>The plan would also require all National Health Service hospitals to become “foundation trusts,” enterprises that are independent of health service control and accountable to an independent regulator (some hospitals currently operate in this fashion). This would result in a further loss of jobs, health care unions say, and also open the door to further privatization of the service.</p>
<p> </p></div>
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		<title>Ultra Rice: Invention holds hope for health</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/26/ultra-rice-whatcom-county-invention-holds-hope-for-health/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/26/ultra-rice-whatcom-county-invention-holds-hope-for-health/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jul 2010 04:00:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Genetically Modified Food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Human Rights and Discrimination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social Matters]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World News - Home]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World News - News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1833</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[SeattleTimes]  A simple bowl of white rice sits on a conference table inside the Seattle headquarters of global-health nonprofit PATH.  What looks and tastes like ordinary rice is actually the product of two decades of research and development.

For every 100 grains of rice, the bowl contains one grain of Ultra Rice. It&#8217;s actually not rice [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2012441987_ultrarice25.html">SeattleTimes</a>]  A simple bowl of white rice sits on a conference table inside the Seattle headquarters of global-health nonprofit PATH.  What looks and tastes like ordinary rice is actually the product of two decades of research and development.</p>
<div>
<p>For every 100 grains of rice, the bowl contains one grain of Ultra Rice. It&#8217;s actually not rice at all, but pasta fortified with vitamins and minerals and squeezed through a rice-shaped mold. The manufactured grains are made from a mixture of rice flour, nutrients and binding agents derived from seaweed.</p>
<p>Originally the creation of father-and-son inventors from Bellingham, Ultra Rice is now being produced and tested around the world as a potential solution to malnutrition. Governments in Brazil and India are serving it in school-lunch programs, and the United Nations&#8217; World Food Programme is conducting a trial in Cambodia to see if families find it acceptable.</p>
<p>About 2.5 billion people consume rice as their main source of food. Many of them suffer from deficiencies of iron, folic acid, vitamin A and other essential nutrients. In India, for example, a national study last year found that more than half of women and 70 percent of children under 5 were anemic. Iron deficiencies can harm brain development and increase the risk of hemorrhaging and death in childbirth.</p>
<p>Adding nutrients to rice can reach millions of people without asking them to change basic shopping, cooking or eating habits, says Dipika Matthias, who directs the Ultra Rice project at PATH in Seattle. In the U.S., products such as flour, milk and salt come fortified with vitamins and minerals.  The challenge: making pasta that smells, tastes and looks like rice, but packs a powerful combination of calcium, zinc, folic acid, thiamin and iron inside, can withstand heat and humidity in storage, and doesn&#8217;t wash away or break down when cooked.</p>
<p><strong>Customization</strong></p>
<p>Ultra Rice is made by pasta makers then blended with natural rice grains by rice millers, so by the time it gets to consumers, it can be cooked and eaten as usual. The grains are customized to meet the needs of each country — in India that&#8217;s iron; in Brazil it&#8217;s a combination of micronutrients. PATH won an award from The Tech Museum in Silicon Valley last year for its work on Ultra Rice.</p>
<p>It may be a technological wonder, but Ultra Rice has its own set of challenges. The price is 2 to 5 percent higher than traditional rice, and the target population is among the world&#8217;s poorest, so widespread distribution depends on government support and companies&#8217; willingness to limit their profit margins.<span id="more-1833"></span></p>
<p>Seattle&#8217;s global-health nonprofit PATH hopes Ultra Rice will help malnourished communities around the world. The fortified, ricelike pasta was created by a father-son team from Bellingham.</p>
<p>By <a href="http://search.nwsource.com/search?searchtype=cq&amp;sort=date&amp;from=ST&amp;byline=Kristi%20Heim">Kristi Heim</a></p>
<p>Seattle Times business reporter</p>
<div id="PhotoContainer">
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<p><a href="http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/ABPub/zoom/html/2012442653.html" target="popup_enlarge"><img title="The manufactured grains, shown here, are added to rice, offering a potential solution to malnutrition for millions of people. " src="/ABPub/2010/07/23/2012374250.jpg" alt="The manufactured grains, shown here, are added to rice, offering a potential solution to malnutrition for millions of people. " width="296" height="217" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/ABPub/zoom/html/2012442653.html" target="popup_enlarge"><img src="/art/ui/zoom_photo.gif" alt="Enlarge this photo" width="48" height="11" align="left" /></a>JOHN LOK / THE SEATTLE TIMES</p>
<p>The manufactured grains, shown here, are added to rice, offering a potential solution to malnutrition for millions of people.</p></div>
<div id="image_2012442654" style="DISPLAY: none">
<p><a href="http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/ABPub/zoom/html/2012442654.html" target="popup_enlarge"><img title="Rice fortified with Ultra Rice provides schoolchildren in India sorely needed iron. Governments in Brazil and India are serving it in school-lunch programs to boost nutrition. " src="/ABPub/2010/07/23/2012398378.jpg" alt="Rice fortified with Ultra Rice provides schoolchildren in India sorely needed iron. Governments in Brazil and India are serving it in school-lunch programs to boost nutrition. " width="296" height="232" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/ABPub/zoom/html/2012442654.html" target="popup_enlarge"><img src="/art/ui/zoom_photo.gif" alt="Enlarge this photo" width="48" height="11" align="left" /></a>SATVIR MALHOTRA/PATH</p>
<p>Rice fortified with Ultra Rice provides schoolchildren in India sorely needed iron. Governments in Brazil and India are serving it in school-lunch programs to boost nutrition.</p></div>
</div>
</div>
<p> </p></div>
<div id="stBackgroundLabel" style="DISPLAY: none">
<p>Related</p></div>
<div>
<p>A simple bowl of white rice sits on a conference table inside the Seattle headquarters of global-health nonprofit PATH.</p>
<p>What looks and tastes like ordinary rice is actually the product of two decades of research and development.</p>
<p>For every 100 grains of rice, the bowl contains one grain of Ultra Rice. It&#8217;s actually not rice at all, but pasta fortified with vitamins and minerals and squeezed through a rice-shaped mold. The manufactured grains are made from a mixture of rice flour, nutrients and binding agents derived from seaweed.</p>
<p>Originally the creation of father-and-son inventors from Bellingham, Ultra Rice is now being produced and tested around the world as a potential solution to malnutrition. Governments in Brazil and India are serving it in school-lunch programs, and the United Nations&#8217; World Food Programme is conducting a trial in Cambodia to see if families find it acceptable.</p>
<p>About 2.5 billion people consume rice as their main source of food. Many of them suffer from deficiencies of iron, folic acid, vitamin A and other essential nutrients.</p>
<p>In India, for example, a national study last year found that more than half of women and 70 percent of children under 5 were anemic. Iron deficiencies can harm brain development and increase the risk of hemorrhaging and death in childbirth.</p>
<p>Adding nutrients to rice can reach millions of people without asking them to change basic shopping, cooking or eating habits, says Dipika Matthias, who directs the Ultra Rice project at PATH in Seattle. In the U.S., products such as flour, milk and salt come fortified with vitamins and minerals.</p>
<p>The challenge: making pasta that smells, tastes and looks like rice, but packs a powerful combination of calcium, zinc, folic acid, thiamin and iron inside, can withstand heat and humidity in storage, and doesn&#8217;t wash away or break down when cooked.</p>
<p><strong>Customization</strong></p>
<p>Ultra Rice is made by pasta makers then blended with natural rice grains by rice millers, so by the time it gets to consumers, it can be cooked and eaten as usual. The grains are customized to meet the needs of each country — in India that&#8217;s iron; in Brazil it&#8217;s a combination of micronutrients.</p>
<p>PATH won an award from The Tech Museum in Silicon Valley last year for its work on Ultra Rice.</p>
<p>It may be a technological wonder, but Ultra Rice has its own set of challenges. The price is 2 to 5 percent higher than traditional rice, and the target population is among the world&#8217;s poorest, so widespread distribution depends on government support and companies&#8217; willingness to limit their profit margins</p></div>
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		<title>Reprogrammed Stem Cells May Have Limited Use, Researchers Say</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/19/reprogrammed-stem-cells-may-have-limited-use-researchers-say/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/19/reprogrammed-stem-cells-may-have-limited-use-researchers-say/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 19:48:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stem Cells and Cloning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World News - Home]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1826</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[Bloomberg] &#8212; Potent stem cells derived from reprogramming skin or other adult body tissues may have limits on their usefulness as an alternative to cells from human embryos, researchers said.
The study found that induced pluripotent stem cells, or IPS cells, retain a “memory” of their original adult tissue, making it more difficult to turn them [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-07-19/reprogrammed-stem-cells-may-have-limited-use-researchers-say.html">Bloomberg</a>] &#8212; Potent stem cells derived from reprogramming skin or other adult body tissues may have limits on their usefulness as an alternative to cells from human embryos, researchers said.</p>
<p>The study found that induced pluripotent stem cells, or IPS cells, retain a “memory” of their original adult tissue, making it more difficult to turn them into other cell types for medical treatment, according to authors from Harvard University and Johns Hopkins University. The study was published online today in the journal Nature. Similar results from other Harvard researchers were published in the journal Nature Biotechnology.</p>
<p>The findings may pose a challenge to previous research that suggested reprogrammed adult body cells may be substituted for embryonic stem cells, which have the ability to grow into all tissue types in the body. Researchers are already developing ways to get around the limits identified in today’s study, so the IPS cells may still be used to treat illnesses such as Parkinson’s disease or diabetes.<span id="more-1826"></span></p>
<p>“It’s a challenge to be understood and overcome,” George Daley, a researcher at the Harvard Stem Cell Institute and Children’s Hospital in Boston and lead author of the Nature study, said today in a telephone interview. “We already have strategies for overcoming this.”</p>
<p>Still, the study results are a setback for the field of regenerative medicine, in which stem cells are used to grow new body tissues aimed at repairing or replacing body parts damaged from injury or illness.</p>
<p>All Applications</p>
<p>“These findings cut across all clinical applications people are pursuing and whatever diseases they are modeling,” Daley said.</p>
<p>Embryonic stem cells are derived from days-old human embryos, which are destroyed in the process. The technique has generated ethical debate. IPS cells, derived from reprogramming adult stem cells, have been viewed as an alternative to the embryonic stem cells.</p>
<p>While the reprogrammed stem cells may not be as versatile as embryonic stem cells at growing into all body cell types, the research released today found they are still useful.</p>
<p>“This study in no way challenges the usefulness of IPS cells” for research and drug discovery, Daley said in a telephone interview today. “They remain enormously valuable.”</p>
<p>A second study also published today showed similar results, with IPS cells retaining biological memory of its origins from adult cells. That restricted the capacity of the reprogrammed cells to differentiate into other kinds of cells, according to the research from Harvard-affiliated Massachusetts General Hospital.</p>
<p>Technique Breakthrough</p>
<p>Four years ago, a Japanese research team headed by Shinya Yamanaka pioneered the technique to reprogram adult skin cells into the working equivalent of embryonic stem cells.</p>
<p>Daley and colleagues earlier this month reported they were able to make human IPS cells from adult blood cells in a process they said was faster than the method of using adult skin cells. IPS cells made from blood were easier to turn back into blood than IPS cells made from skin or brain cells, he said in the interview.</p>
<p>While thousands of patients around the world have been treated with adult stem cells in research studies and have shown mixed results, no humans have been given cells derived from embryos in an approved trial.</p>
<p>Geron Corp., a Menlo Park, California-based company, said Oct. 30 it had reached an agreement with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration that may allow the company to proceed later this year with the first embryonic stem-cell study in humans. The study will test Geron’s therapy for injured spinal cords.</p>
<p>&#8211;With assistance from Rob Waters in San Francisco. Editors: Donna Alvarado, Andrew Pollack</p>
<p>To contact the reporter on this story: David Olmos in San Francisco at dolmos@bloomberg.net</p>
<p>To contact the editor responsible for this story: Reg Gale at Rgale5@bloomberg.net</p>
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		<title>The New Abortion Providers</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/14/the-new-abortion-providers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/14/the-new-abortion-providers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Jul 2010 22:25:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Beginning of Life Matters and Reproductive Technologies]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1822</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[NYTimes] On a clear and mild March day in 1993, the Operation Rescue leader Randall Terry spoke at a rally in southern Florida against abortion. “We’ve found the weak link is the doctor,” he told the crowd. “We’re going to expose them. We’re going to humiliate them.” A few days later, Dr. David Gunn, an [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/18/magazine/18abortion-t.html">NYTimes</a>] On a clear and mild March day in 1993, the Operation Rescue leader Randall Terry spoke at a rally in southern Florida against abortion. “We’ve found the weak link is the doctor,” he told the crowd. “We’re going to expose them. We’re going to humiliate them.” A few days later, Dr. David Gunn, an abortion provider, was shot and killed outside his clinic in Pensacola, Fla., about 500 miles away. It was the first of eight such murders, the extreme edge of what has become an anti-abortion strategy of confrontation.</p>
<p>Terry understood that focusing on abortion providers was possible because they had become increasingly isolated from mainstream medicine. That was not what physicians themselves anticipated after the Supreme Court’s 1973 decision in Roe v. Wade. An open letter signed by 100 professors of obstetrics and gynecology predicted that free-standing clinics would be unnecessary if half of the 20,000 obstetricians in the country would do abortions for their patients, and if hospitals would handle “their proportionate share.” OB-GYNs at the time emphasized that abortion was a surgical procedure and fell under their purview.</p>
<p>But then most of the OB-GYNs left the stage. After Roe, the shadow of the greedy, butchering “abortionist” continued to hover, and many doctors didn’t want to stand in it. As mainstream medicine backed away, feminist activists stepped in. They set up stand-alone clinics to care for women in their moments of crisis. In many ways, the clinics were a rebel-sister success story. Instead of a sterile and expensive hospital operating room, patients could go to a low-cost clinic with pastel walls and sympathetic staff members. At a Planned Parenthood I visited recently in Rochester, while women were having abortions, they could look at photos of a Caribbean beach, taped above them on the ceiling.<span id="more-1822"></span></p>
<p>But the clinics also truly came to stand alone. In 1973, hospitals made up 80 percent of the country’s abortion facilities. By 1981, however, clinics outnumbered hospitals, and 15 years later, 90 percent of the abortions in the U.S. were performed at clinics. The American Medical Association did not maintain standards of care for the procedure. Hospitals didn’t shelter them in their wings. Being a pro-choice doctor came to mean referring your patients to a clinic rather than doing abortions in your own office.</p>
<p>This was never the feminist plan. “The clinics’ founders didn’t intend them to become virtually the only settings for abortion services in many communities,” says Carole Joffe, a sociologist and author of a history of the era, “Doctors of Conscience,” and a new book, “Dispatches From the Abortion Wars.” When the clinics became the only place in town to have an abortion, they became an easy mark for extremists. As Joffe told me, “The violence was possible because the relationship of medicine to abortion was already tenuous.” The medical profession reinforced the outsider status of the clinics by not speaking out strongly after the first attacks. As abortion moved to the margins of medical practice, it also disappeared from residency programs that produced new doctors. In 1995, the number of OB-GYN residencies offering abortion training fell to a low of 12 percent.</p>
<p>“Under pressure and stigma, more doctors shun abortion,” wrote David Grimes, a leading researcher and abortion provider of 38 years, in a widely cited 1992 medical journal article called “Clinicians Who Provide Abortions: The Thinning Ranks.” In a 1992 survey of OB-GYNs, 59 percent of those age 65 and older said that they performed abortions, compared with 28 percent of those age 50 and younger. The National Abortion Federation started warning about “the graying of the abortion provider.” In the decade after Roe, the number of sites providing abortion across the country almost doubled from about 1,500 to more than 2,900, according to the Gutt­macher Institute. But by 2000 the number shrank back to about 1,800 — a decline of 37 percent from 1982.</p>
<p>There’s another side of the story, however — a deliberate and concerted counteroffensive that has gone largely unremarked. Over the last decade, abortion-rights advocates have quietly worked to reverse the marginalization encouraged by activists like Randall Terry. Abortion-rights proponents are fighting back on precisely the same turf that Terry demarcated: the place of abortion within mainstream medicine. This abortion-rights campaign, led by physicians themselves, is trying to recast doctors, changing them from a weak link of abortion to a strong one. Its leaders have built residency programs and fellowships at university hospitals, with the hope that, eventually, more and more doctors will use their training to bring abortion into their practices. The bold idea at the heart of this effort is to integrate abortion so that it’s a seamless part of health care for women — embraced rather than shunned.</p>
<p>This is the future. Or rather, one possible future. There’s a long way to go from here to there. Between 2000 and 2005, the last year that statistics are available, the number of abortion facilities in the U.S. dropped 2 percent — a smaller dip than those in the preceding five-year periods, but a decline nonetheless. “The ’90s were about getting abortion back into residency training and medical schools,” says Jody Steinauer, an OB-GYN professor at the University of California at San Francisco, the hub of the abortion-rights countermovement in medicine. “Now it’s about getting abortion into our practices.”</p>
<p><strong>THE INITIAL PUSH TO </strong>lift the status of abortion in medicine came from the profession’s most junior members. In 1992, Steinauer started medical school at U.C.S.F. In the spring of her first year, she and thousands of other students received a mailing at home called “Bottom Feeder.” It made racist jokes and included this exchange: “Q: What would you do if you found yourself in a room with Hitler, Mussolini and an abortionist, and you had a gun with only two bullets? A: Shoot the abortionist twice.”</p>
<p>Distressed by the mailing, Steinauer started talking to students at other schools about how abortion wasn’t the topic of a single class. She took a year off and started the group Medical Students for Choice. Soon chapters throughout the country began pushing to add lectures about abortion to the medical-school curriculum. “Not everyone has to do abortion, but everyone has to think about it,” Steinauer says today of M.S.F.C.’s philosophy. The point is to recruit not only future abortion providers but also the supporters they’ll need inside medicine later in their professional lives. M.S.F.C. now has 10,000 members. “You know, all these students going into dermatology or radiology — if you’re an OB who wants to provide and your hospital won’t let you, they’re the ones you want as your allies on the hospital board,” Steinauer says.</p>
<p>The next important moment came in 1995. With new studies showing how low the training rates for residents had fallen, the National Abortion Federation, with M.S.F.C. as an ally, began pushing for change. The Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education — which represents the medical establishment — decided, for the first time, to make abortion training a requirement for all OB-GYN residency programs seeking its accreditation. The anti-abortion movement tried to smother the new mandate. The following year, Congress passed the Coats Amendment, which declared that any residency program that failed to obey the Accreditation Council’s mandate could still be deemed accredited by the federal government. But the council had spoken, and medical schools and teaching hospitals listened. Today, about half of the more than 200 OB-GYN residency programs integrate abortion into their residents’ regular rotations. Another 40 percent of them offer only elective training.</p>
<p>To establish a secure foothold in academic medicine, abortion-rights supporters knew that along with residency programs they needed the kind of advanced training that attracts the best doctors and those who want to join medical-school faculties. A physician at the U.C.S.F. medical school set up the Family Planning Fellowship, a two-year stint following residency that pays doctors to sharpen their skills in abortion and contraception, to venture into research and to do international work. In recent years, the fellowship has expanded to 21 universities, including the usual liberal-turf suspects — Harvard, Columbia, Johns Hopkins, Stanford, U.C.L.A. — but also schools in more conservative states, like the University of Utah, the University of Colorado and Emory University in Georgia.</p>
<p>When Salt Lake City and Atlanta are home to programs that train doctors to be expert in abortion and contraception, the profession sends a signal that family-planning practices are an accepted, not just tolerated, part of what doctors do. That helps draw young physicians. The first generation of providers after Roe took on abortion as a crusade, driven by the urgent memory of seeing women become sick or die because they tried to induce an abortion on their own, in the days before legalization. Out of necessity, the doctors pushed ahead with little training or support. “We did it by the seat of our pants,” says Philip Ferro, an 82-year-old OB-GYN at the S.U.N.Y Upstate Medical University in Syracuse. “There was no formal source of knowledge.”</p>
<p>As Ferro wryly puts it, “That would not stand today.” Abortion and contraception have become the subjects of rigorous, evidence-based research. The younger doctors who are coming through the residency training programs and the Family Planning Fellowship “have invigorated this field beyond my greatest expectations,” Grimes, the researcher and abortion provider, says. “We are cranking out highly qualified, dedicated physicians who are doing world-class research. There is a whole cadre of people. I helped train some of them, and I’m very proud of that. In the 1980s, I wasn’t sure who would fill in behind me when I retired. I’m much more optimistic now.”</p>
<p>Many of the protégées Grimes is talking about are women. In the first generation after Roe, abortion providers were mostly men because doctors were mostly men. Since then, women have streamed into the ranks of OB-GYN and family medicine. They are now the main force behind providing abortion.</p>
<p><strong>THE PROVIDERS THAT</strong> make up the new vanguard don’t define themselves as “abortion doctors.” They often try to make the procedure part of their broader medical practice — by spending much of their week seeing patients for general gynecology or primary-care visits, and by being on call on the labor and delivery floor. If the young doctors succeed at making abortion mainstream and respected within medicine, abortion could move from clinics to doctor’s offices and hospitals. And if that happened, would the politics surrounding it finally change? Would protesters stand outside a hospital or a primary-care clinic or a group practice that treats all kinds of patients?</p>
<p>By taking jobs on university faculties, the young doctors avoid walking to work through a scrum of screaming demonstrators. “Some people like to live on the edge — I don’t,” said Emily Godfrey, a 40-year-old doctor who practices at a primary-care clinic at the University of Illinois at Chicago, where she also does abortions. “I’m a Catholic girl from the suburbs. I’m a yoga student. I like calm and serenity.”</p>
<p>Godfrey is tall and graceful, with auburn hair and freckles. She decided as a child she wanted to be a doctor. In her favorite course as an undergraduate at the University of Wisconsin, on the history of women in medicine, she read rejection letters that Harvard Medical School once wrote to women applicants who were turned down because they would someday marry. Godfrey started at the Medical College of Wisconsin in 1993, the same year that Jody Steinauer founded Medical Students for Choice. Godfrey put most of her extracurricular energy into working with domestic-violence victims. But as a third-year student, she went to an M.S.F.C. meeting at which an internist who did abortions suggested a book called “The Story of Jane.” It was about a few women in Chicago, in the years before Roe, who were furtively trying to help other women in their desperate search for illegal but safe abortions. Godfrey still has her copy. “Women had to meet strange men who were supposedly doctors in a hotel room or in somebody’s kitchen,” she recalled. “To ask a woman to show up secretly like that and hope some guy won’t take advantage of you — to me, it was horrible. I started thinking that I wanted to be the one to make sure that women in that situation could be dignified.”</p>
<p>After graduation, Godfrey started her family-medicine residency in a hospital on Chicago’s West Side. It bordered gang territory. On her obstetrics rotation, Godfrey delivered baby after baby to poor women who seemed overwhelmed. Some were drug addicts. “Bringing so many unwanted children into the world, or children who wouldn’t be readily provided for because their mothers were on drugs or who were taken away at birth — well, that just solidified my feeling that I wanted to provide abortions,” she told me. Godfrey read up on contraception and learned that IUDs can be safely inserted right after delivery. But Medicaid refused to pay for a delivery and this second procedure in one day. “Many of my patients were getting pregnant again, without intending to, and it was extremely frustrating,” she says.</p>
<p>When a friend gave her a flier about the Family Planning Fellowship, Godfrey saw it as a way to learn a skill she wanted to have, try her hand at research and travel abroad. Most Family Planning fellows are OB-GYNs; Godfrey was one of the first family-medicine doctors in the program. Family physicians deliver babies, set broken arms, remove precancerous moles. Because they’re more likely than specialists to work in rural areas, they are for abortion-rights advocates the best hope of bringing more providers to the parts of the country where hundreds of miles roll by without one.</p>
<p>Godfrey spent the two years of her Family Planning Fellowship at the University of Rochester, where she did enough abortions to “train to competency,” the term for doing a sufficient number of supervised abortions to be fully qualified to do the procedure alone. The rate of complication for first-trimester abortions that require hospitalization is so low (fewer than 1 in 100) that doctors often have to do the procedure scores of times to learn what to do when something goes wrong.</p>
<p>Godfrey also went to Nicaragua and Mexico to learn about those countries’ reproductive-health services and to the World Health Organization in Geneva to do research. Now she’s publishing W.H.O. data on using the IUD, inserted after unprotected sex, as emergency contraception. (It works surprisingly well, though it’s not yet entirely clear how.) The fellowship’s international component means that young doctors see the kind of suffering that their predecessors saw in the U.S. before Roe. “In Kenya, a woman came with a stick hanging out of her,” says one doctor whose fellowship took her to Africa so she could train nurses to treat complications from illegal abortions. “You bring in this inexpensive, reusable equipment to places without electricity or running water, and you teach nurses to use it, and you save women’s lives.”</p>
<p>The first fellowship-trained doctors mostly took jobs in cities that were already flush with abortion providers — San Francisco, New York, Boston. Now positions in those places are filled, and the fellowship alums, who number more than 20 per year, are spreading out. In Chicago and even Rochester, there isn’t one lone fellowship-trained physician. There are clusters. They go out for drinks together. Nationally, the fellows have annual meetings and an e-mail list on which they ask one another’s advice. “More than anything, what’s hard about this work is that there aren’t a lot of people you can talk to about it,” says Sunni, a colleague of Godfrey’s and a 40-year-old OB-GYN whose parents immigrated to the United States from South Asia. “That’s probably the most important thing we do for each other.”</p>
<p>Godfrey and Sunni (who asked to be identified by a nickname to protect her privacy) have known each other since they met eight years ago when they were both fellows. The three of us had lunch together in April. Godfrey talked about the first job she took after she finished her fellowship and went back to Chicago. While she looked for a position on a medical-school faculty, she worked one day a week at an abortion clinic 90 miles away in the northern Illinois town of Rockford. The doctors there were the only providers within miles.</p>
<p>The owner of the Rockford clinic was Richard Ragsdale, a Vietnam veteran who’d opened his doors the day after Roe v. Wade was decided. The first time Godfrey came to work, Ragsdale wasn’t there. A nurse showed Godfrey old-fashioned metal instruments that she’d never seen before. Godfrey made do as best she could. Before she could come back to meet Ragsdale the following week, he died. “They called me and asked, ‘Are you our doctor now?’ ” she remembered over lunch.</p>
<p>For the next two years, Godfrey drove to Rockford one day a week. Once she prescribed birth control for her first patient, everyone in town knew her as the new abortion doctor. Protesters surrounded her when she walked into the clinic. One day, a clinic resident left his lunch in the car and said he’d rather be hungry than go back to get it.</p>
<p>Godfrey tried to act tougher than she felt, but the work wore on her. Meanwhile, an OB-GYN in his 60s started working at the clinic, and his unruffled calm seemed like a rebuke. “The older docs — those guys knew how to stand on their own two feet,” she said. “He was immune to everything. But emotionally, for me, it was too hard.”</p>
<p>And then one snowy day in 2007, Godfrey had a patient with a serious complication who needed to go to the hospital. She called the OB-GYN who was supposed to be on call. He was out of town. She called Sunni, who told her to get the patient to the local hospital. But Godfrey had no admitting privileges there, and the doctor on call seemed unwilling to admit the patient. “She said, ‘How dare you come here,’ ” Godfrey remembered. She looked down at her salad, her face flushed.</p>
<p>“You were really out there all alone,” Sunni said.</p>
<p>Godfrey nodded. “Yeah, I remember you said that,” Godfrey said. “And I was like, God, you’re right.” Godfrey called George Tiller, the veteran abortion provider who was later killed at his Kansas church in 2009, to ask his advice. He told her to call an ambulance and send the patient to the hospital.</p>
<p>Godfrey did, and the woman was admitted; she got the care she needed, and in the end she was fine. But Godfrey was shaken. So was Sunni, who told us about a dream she had after that tense day about Godfrey going back to Rockford. “The clinic got destroyed somehow. I saw you in the rubble, still working. And I said: ‘This is ridiculous! Come home!’ ”</p>
<p>A year later, Godfrey stopped going to Rockford. By then she had started at the University of Illinois as an assistant professor of family medicine. This is the job that allows her to be an abortion provider with “a normal life,” as she puts it. “You know what, I’m a single woman who still wants to get married,” she says. “I will not be flying and driving around rural Midwest America. I’m not willing to be out on that frontier.”</p>
<p><strong>IN 1999, UTA LANDY,</strong> a former director of the National Abortion Federation, and Philip Darney, her husband and an OB-GYN professor at U.C.S.F., created the Kenneth J. Ryan Residency Training Program. The program gives medical schools two or three years of seed money for abortion training for OB-GYN residents. Through it, 58 campuses in the U.S. and Canada have received financing. Landy also directs the Family Planning Fellowship, with Jody Steinauer as the associate director.</p>
<p>When I e-mailed Landy in January to set up an interview, she wrote back that her policy is not to speak to the press. Steinauer explained that the organization fears that the publicity might scare away a university considering a Ryan or fellowship grant. Or it might spook the donor, other doctors told me.</p>
<p>The money for the Ryan and the Family Planning Fellowship comes from one foundation and from one family. The donor has chosen to remain anonymous, which helps to explain why there’s been so little publicity about the pro-choice strategy of bringing abortion into academic medicine. It has been covered by a veil of semisecrecy.</p>
<p>At the same time, as the Ryan and the fellowship have expanded to dozens of institutions, many people have come to know about the source of funding. In the course of my reporting, two doctors who had not done the fellowship themselves, but who work in universities, volunteered to me that the money for the programs comes from the Buffett Foundation. They meant the Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation.</p>
<p>Susan Thompson Buffett was married to Warren Buffett and served as president of the foundation that bears her name. She died in 2004. Two years later, Warren Buffett gave the foundation about $3 billion. He said that he expected the gift to increase the foundation’s annual expenditures by $150 million. And in fact, total giving by the foundation, where two of the Buffetts’ children sit on the board, increased from $202 million in 2007 to $347 million in 2008, according to tax returns.</p>
<p>The tax records also show that most of the foundation’s spending goes to abortion and contraception advocacy and research. According to Access Philanthropy, a research institute that focuses on the giving preferences of foundations and corporate donors, family planning is one of the Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation’s main purposes. The foundation’s nonprofit 990 tax form shows that in 2008, Planned Parenthood and its affiliates in the U.S. received about $45 million; the international arm of the organization got about $8 million. There is no line item for the Ryan program or the Family Planning Fellowship. But the foundation paid out around $50 million to universities with one or both of the programs.</p>
<p>Warren Buffett has never spoken publicly about his views on abortion. But in the 1990s, according to The Wall Street Journal, the Buffett Foundation helped finance the research and development of the pills that induce abortion. The foundation also helped finance a lawsuit to overturn the ban on so-called partial-birth abortion in Nebraska, Buffett’s home state and the headquarters of his company, Berkshire Hathaway. (Susan Thompson Buffett moved from Omaha to San Francisco in 1977 but remained close to her husband. She took credit for introducing him to the woman he has lived with since 1978; the three sent out Christmas cards together.) In Thompson Buffett’s only television interview, which was broadcast after her death, she told Charlie Rose: “Warren feels that women all over the world get shortchanged. That’s why he’s so pro-choice.”</p>
<p>Buffett hasn’t been a target of heated protest — his plainspoken Midwestern persona and his enormous wealth may make him the wrong enemy for anti-abortion advocates. But in 2001, a right-wing activist named Thomas Strobhar showed up at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting with a shareholder resolution objecting to donations to Planned Parenthood, via a program that allowed shareholders to make gifts through the company to charitable organizations of their choice. Buffett ended the giving program two years later.</p>
<p>In 2006, Buffett announced his $3 billion gift to the foundation in a letter that’s written in a kind of code. He and his late wife had established the foundation, he wrote, “to focus intensely on important societal problems that had very limited funding constituencies.”</p>
<p>“You mean you didn’t know Warren Buffett’s foundation has been funding abortion-rights organizations?” NPR reported at the time. “Well, that’s just the way the Buffetts wanted it.” The Web sites for the Family Planning Fellowship and the Ryan program are also discreet. A private log-in is required to read more than basic information.</p>
<p>The foundation could have been straightforward about its work from the start. Instead, according to some doctors involved with the programs, a low profile eased the way for universities to sign on for the fellowship and the Ryan. Landy and others administrating the grant programs continue to express concerns about the implications of publicity (including this article). Buffett and Allen Greenberg, the director of the foundation, and Buffett’s former son-in-law, declined to speak to me on the record.</p>
<p>And yet for all the anxiety about being in the spotlight, the surprising truth is that however embattled abortion remains in America at large, at the top of academic medicine, the structure built to support it looks secure. David Grimes, the researcher, is on the committee that chooses the Family Planning fellow at his university, and this year, he said, there were so many well-qualified candidates that they turned some down. Grimes surveys the terrain — the annual meetings with presentations of top-flight research, the schools where Medical Students for Choice and residency training and the Family Planning Fellowship are flourishing — and says with satisfaction: “A few things have happened to turn it all around. Thanks to the donor, I think it’s all here to stay.”</p>
<p>Medical schools that host the Ryan and the fellowship have, however, experienced the occasional protest. Last fall, an anti-abortion newsletter reported that the Family Planning Fellowship had come to Washington University in St. Louis. (In fact, the fellowship began there in 2007.) The author, Joe Ortwerth, posted the names and mailing addresses of key “decision makers,” including the chancellor and chairman of the board of Washington University. “You may wish to contact them to urge that they put an end to this shameful and insidious relationship with Planned Parenthood,” Ortwerth wrote. “Please pray for them as you send such messages that they will receive your communication with an open heart.” The newsletter later reported that the Family Planning Fellowship had posted on its Web site that Wash. U. was running the fellowship in collaboration with St. Louis University, a Catholic school.</p>
<p>In The St. Louis Post-Dispatch, St. Louis University denied any involvement. Washington University apologized for the mention of St. Louis University on the fellowship Web site. In a letter to the editor published in The Post-Dispatch, Ortwerth wrote, “It is shameful for Washington University to attempt to dignify the dirty business of abortion by awarding academic fellowships to future abortionists.”</p>
<p>The flap ended there, and Washington stuck with the fellowship. Still, such controversy isn’t welcome at most universities. The doctors who run the Ryan and fellowship programs aren’t trying to hide, they say. But they don’t want to be singled out. When I asked to visit medical schools where doctors like Godfrey are performing abortions, some of them asked not to be the only university I mentioned. “We want to fight the battle, but not all of us are martyrs,” said Leo B. Twiggs, chair of the OB-GYN department at the University of Miami in Florida, where two fellowship-trained doctors perform first- and second-trimester abortions as part of their gynecology practice. “Everyone was nervous when you asked to come. We basically said that if we really believe in what we’re doing, we should be able to talk about it. But we don’t want to be especially known for pregnancy termination.”</p>
<p>Many of the two dozen young doctors I talked to for this article were similarly conflicted. They wanted to talk about their work. They see it as part of making abortion mainstream. But the murder of Dr. George Tiller last year scared them. One 33-year-old family-medicine doctor I met in Rochester drives 90 miles each week to perform abortions at a clinic in Syracuse. She is pregnant with her third child, and she asked me not to use her name after her father insisted that she’d be putting herself and her kids at risk. Still, at her Episcopal church, where she feels safe, she is open about what she does. “When people are surprised, I say, ‘Yes, a Christian can also be an abortion provider,’ ” she told me.</p>
<p><strong>EMILY GODFREY, </strong>too, has reckoned with the sensitivity of her line of work. She was brought up in a casually Catholic home in which abortion wasn’t discussed. Her mother strongly supports her. Privately, her father does, too. But while he thanked her for telling him when she won a local award for her work, he didn’t come to the ceremony.</p>
<p>Godfrey has treaded carefully at the University of Illinois. When she joined the faculty, she got a grant to train residents to do abortions. (The money came from a sister program to the Ryan for family physicians, called the Center for Reproductive Health Education in Family Medicine.) But Godfrey started slowly: during her first year, in 2006, she handled only primary-care visits at the university-run clinic where she sees patients two days a week. She stressed contraception, increasing the number of patients getting IUDs — one of the most effective forms of birth control — from fewer than 15 to more than 90 a year.</p>
<p>As Godfrey came to know the nurses and front-desk staff at her primary-care clinic, she learned that some of them flatly opposed abortion. They’ve come around, she says, out of mutual professionalism. She doesn’t object when nurses don’t want to assist her, and she tries to meet them halfway by doing abortions only up to nine weeks of pregnancy. The early threshold means that no one on staff has to contend with recognizable fetal parts. “It was a way of being respectful, because I know that not everyone agrees with me and what I do,” she says. After I watched Godfrey coach one of the residents she trains through a surgical abortion for a 22-year-old college student who was six weeks pregnant, we went to the clinic’s utility room. The resident floated the pregnancy tissue in a glass dish of water, for a routine check. Amid the uterine tissue was a gestational sac about the size of a dime surrounded by millimeters-long white villi, the fronds that later help form the placenta.</p>
<p>In the clinic’s waiting room, it’s impossible to tell who has come because of a stuffy nose or chest pain, or for birth control. In this setting, Godfrey can take care of a pregnant woman whether she chooses to keep the baby, put it up for adoption or end the pregnancy. To her, this is the core of an integrated practice. “I have nothing to gain or lose whatever my patient decides,” she told me. “I’m just being her advocate and her family physician.”</p>
<p>A first-trimester abortion is low-risk, relatively simple and fast — a skilled doctor can do it in less than five minutes. It’s the traditional province of OB-GYNs, but it also fits easily within the scope of care of family-medicine doctors, who do other minor procedures, like endometrial biopsies, which screen for uterine cancer. So far, only a small number of the family-medicine residencies offer abortion training. But those programs are attracting applicants — they have higher match rates, which means greater success in recruiting the residents they want.</p>
<p>Technological advances have made it easier to shift abortion to the earlier stages of pregnancy. Tests have become sensitive enough to detect pregnancies two weeks after conception. The M.V.A., or manual vacuum aspirator, is gradually replacing the electric pump as the equipment of choice for first-trimester procedures. It’s about 10 inches long, costs only $30 and looks like the kind of appliance you might find in a kitchen drawer. Lawrence Leeman, a family physician at the University of New Mexico, describes how he convinced skeptical nurses that their primary-care clinic could handle abortion by coming to a meeting with his M.V.A. supplies in his coat pocket. Even smaller, of course, are the pills for a medical abortion.</p>
<p>Most facilities that offer surgical abortions now offer medical ones too. And in fact, Godfrey also does medical abortions up to nine weeks: she gives patients the pills misoprostol and mifepristone (formerly known as RU-486) and sends them home for an induced miscarriage, with a follow-up visit to make sure there are no complications. When the Food and Drug Administration approved medical abortion 10 years ago, abortion-rights advocates hoped that the method would move into the offices of doctors who don’t do surgical abortions. That shift hasn’t much happened. But medical abortion has helped to increase the number of very early abortions. It has long been an abortion-rights selling point that almost 90 percent of the abortions in the U.S. are performed before 12 weeks; in addition, four years ago, the proportion of procedures performed before 9 weeks reached 62 percent. The statistic points to a paradox: Anti-abortion advocates succeeded in focusing the country’s attention on graphic descriptions and bans of late-term abortion even as more and more women were ending their pregnancies earlier and earlier.</p>
<p><strong>DOCTORS WHO PERFORM</strong> abortions are startled by some poll numbers showing that for the first time, more Americans call themselves pro-life than pro-choice — a shift that includes young people. I saw hints of that discomfort. Medical residents with a moral or religious objection can always choose not to participate in abortion training, and in Godfrey’s program this year, four out of seven did not take part. When I visited the Planned Parenthood in Rochester, a 29-year-old pediatric resident came to watch the nurses counsel patients about their options but chose not to see an actual abortion. “I don’t know how I personally feel morally, and I’m never going to do one,” she said. “So if it could bother me if I saw one, then what’s the point?”</p>
<p>Godfrey trains her residents to do abortions up to 13 weeks by taking them one afternoon a week to a hospital where her colleague Sunni runs an abortion service as part of her OB-GYN practice. When the residents finish their training, Godfrey asks them how they feel about doing the procedure at 7 or 10 or 13 weeks. “Some will say, ‘I’m perfectly O.K. going up to 10 weeks, but after that I can see more of the fetus moving on an ultrasound, and I’m just not comfortable with that.’ ” She has set her own threshold at 14 weeks. “I’m not an OB-GYN, and I’m not a surgeon, and that’s as far as I can safely go,” she said. “But to be honest with you, I haven’t seen a lot of terminations past 19 weeks. There’s a part of me that’s almost grateful that it’s not even an option for me.”</p>
<p>These gradated choices are a delicate subject within the field. The abortion providers I talked to are intensely grateful to the doctors who are willing to handle difficult late-second-trimester cases. But they also see the moral complexities up close. Two years ago, a young professor at the University of Michigan named Lisa Harris wrote an academic article about performing an 18-week abortion while she was 18 weeks pregnant. Harris described grasping the fetus’s leg with her forceps, feeling a kick in her own uterus and starting to cry. “It was an overwhelming feeling — a brutally visceral response — heartfelt and unmediated by my training or my feminist pro-choice politics,” she wrote. “It was one of the more raw moments in my life.”</p>
<p>Other abortion providers have sorted through related issues. When Sunni was pregnant, some of her patients asked how she could perform an abortion while she was carrying a child. “I said: ‘There’s a time for everything. This is my time. Yours may come later.’ ” When Harris’s article was the subject of a workshop at one of the Family Planning Fellowship’s annual meetings, Sunni remembers the difficult emotions that came to the surface, and also the concern about how the article had been depicted in the anti-abortion press, it’s most graphic passages quoted as evidence of hypocrisy and folly. “We want to bring this discussion more to the forefront,” Sunni says. “But it’s a bit dangerous. Because people can misconstrue what we mean.”</p>
<p><strong>SINCE BEFORE THE</strong> days of Roe v. Wade, a small number of doctors have quietly provided abortions in their offices (often only for patients with health insurance or who pay out of pocket). Their numbers have dwindled: in 2005, the Guttmacher Institute counted 367 abortion providers in doctors’ offices nationwide, down from more than 700 in 1982. Doctors’ offices now account for only 2 percent of the total number of procedures; hospitals account for barely 5 percent.</p>
<p>This highlights the challenge of making abortion truly mainstream — of moving beyond residency training and outside the haven of medical-school faculties, so that more doctors offer abortions when they join a regular OB-GYN or primary-care practice. As yet, all the success in training new doctors hasn’t translated into an increase in access. Abortion remains the most common surgical procedure for American women; one-third of them will have one by the age of 45. The number performed annually in the U.S. has largely held steady: 1.3 million in 1977 and 1.2 million three decades later. In metropolitan areas, women who want to go to their own doctor for an abortion can ask whether a practice offers abortion when they choose an OB-GYN or family physician. But in 87 percent of the counties in the U.S., where a third of women live, there is no known abortion provider.</p>
<p>OB-GYNs who learn to do abortions during residency are more likely to offer the procedure when they go off to practice, according to a 2008 study that Jody Steinauer helped write. And yet a study published this month, which she helped conduct (along with Darney, Landy and Lori Freedman of U.C.S.F.) offers an explanation for why the numbers of providers have continued to fall: the shift to group medical practice. The authors interviewed 30 OB-GYNs with abortion training. Eighteen said they wanted to provide abortions after residency. But 15 of them weren’t actually doing so. One doctor from a midsize city in the Midwest described her job interview at a group practice: “The one partner who’s very senior in the group and very pro-life, basically his only job is to sit with you and just tell you . . . ‘If you join this group, you will not be performing abortion procedures. And if that’s a problem for you, then you will work elsewhere. O.K.?’ ” Another doctor from the suburbs of a big Western city said that she refers her patients to Planned Parenthood. “Actually, in my first couple of months in practice, the people that are in my office here told me, ‘Don’t even bother,’ ” she said of wanting to perform abortions. For family-practice doctors, medical-malpractice insurance is an additional barrier. According to one 2008 study, coverage for abortion often costs them an extra $10,000 to $15,000 a year.</p>
<p>Even doctors who practice solo and have all the insurance they need can find themselves in delicate negotiations over abortion. Ray, who is in his 30s, is an OB-GYN in upstate New York who learned to do abortions during his residency. As a teenager, Ray (who asked that I use only his middle name) saw his brother’s fear when he got his girlfriend pregnant. Race also mattered in Ray’s decision to become a provider; he is African-American. “We utilize the service a lot, but publicly we don’t really support it,” he said of the local black community.</p>
<p>We talked in his office, which was simple and old-school: issues of Redbook and Good Housekeeping were in the racks in the waiting room. The office is in a building that has a volatile history. In the early 1990s, protesters from Operation Rescue came frequently to the building to protest the presence of an outspoken OB-GYN who provided abortions. When Ray took over a different practice in the building, he decided to get hospital privileges so he could schedule surgical abortions in the O.R. He also wanted to give patients the pills for a medical abortion in his office.</p>
<p>But first Ray sat down to talk with Ann, the nurse who’d worked for more than 25 years in the practice. Now in her early 60s, Ann (her middle name) is a Catholic grandmother who celebrates Mass every Sunday. She was adamantly opposed to abortion. She was also a fixture in the office; she knew all the patients. “Here I am, a young doctor, taking over an old practice with a lot of women patients who have kids my age,” said Ray, who has children of his own. “I needed someone to back me up when I got here. She did that for me. I didn’t want to let her go.”</p>
<p>And so Ray and Ann worked out a compromise: He would handle the abortion patients entirely on his own. When a woman calls to ask for a termination, Ann and the office manager take down the patient’s name and number and then have nothing more to do with the case. Ray does the scheduling, counseling and billing along with the care. He and Ann agreed that when he did medical abortions, he would give the patients the pills in the office, because the women actually ended their pregnancies at home. “We have a mutual understanding: no surgical abortions here, and we treat medical abortion as a gray area,” Ray says.</p>
<p>When I talked to Ann — Ray offered her his office chair while he saw a patient — she said that when Ray took over the practice, she and the office manager, another woman in her 60s, weren’t sure if they would stay. “We didn’t want a young doctor with attitude,” Ann said. “We’re too old for that. But we gave him a chance. And he has exceeded our expectations wildly. I thank God every day, because he’s so good with the patients. I’m just blessed. Other than the little termination thing — ” she made a small box with her fingers and then moved her hands to her left, as if to set the box aside.</p>
<p>Ann reassures herself that Ray is never casual about abortion. “He makes the women think about it longer, to make sure they know this is something you have to live with forever.” She also told me something Ray hadn’t mentioned. “If a patient calls and she’s not sure, I ask, ‘Have you looked into other things?’ I say, ‘Come in and let’s talk.’ I tell her that if adoption might be a difficult situation, there is other help out there. I may refer her to a crisis pregnancy center” — an anti-abortion organization that counsels pregnant women to keep their babies. In 2006, Congressional investigators found that most federally financed crisis pregnancy centers they contacted gave out wrong information like tying abortion to breast cancer or infertility or mental illness. Yet as part of the compromise between doctor and nurse, that is where Ann says she refers some women who call Ray’s office.</p>
<p>At the same time, Ray is on guard for the warning signs that a pro-life activist is posing as a patient: the woman who calls at an odd time of day close to the anniversary of Roe v. Wade, or who says that her name is “Rebekah, spelled the Biblical way,” or who seems too motivated. “When Operation Rescue was in the building, it was borderline terrifying,” Ann told me. “Seriously. You didn’t know — would there be a pipe bomb? I don’t want the doctor to get in trouble. I don’t want to go back to that.”</p>
<p><strong>EVEN IF DOCTORS</strong> like Ray were to suddenly multiply, stand-alone abortion clinics would still be the mainstay of abortion provision in the U.S. for the foreseeable future. For one thing, the clinics are efficient and relatively low cost. For another, “training to competency” demands a high volume of patients for residents to treat. Most hospitals and doctor’s offices do dozens or at the most hundreds of abortions a year. High-volume clinics do thousands.</p>
<p>Given the importance of the clinics, many abortion-rights physicians would like to pull them into the medical-school orbit. At the moment, universities tend to keep clinics at arm’s length. If they send residents for training, it’s sometimes for an off-site rotation that the medical-school faculty does not supervise. But the relationship can be closer.</p>
<p>I went to visit Rachael Phelps, who is the associate director of Planned Parenthood for the Rochester/Syracuse region and a fellowship-trained doctor who works in a stand-alone clinic. She is a pediatrician with a special interest in adolescent reproductive health. Phelps, who is 40, has flower stickers plastered on the E-ZPass on her windshield. She is steely, though: she does the kind of job that many other doctors shy away from — she walks or drives by protesters every day. When we ate lunch at a restaurant down the street from her office, they waited for her outside. “Dr. Phelps, you kill babies and hurt women,” one shouted as she walked past. “What’s the matter with you?”</p>
<p>Before Phelps became a doctor, she was a patient. As a teenager, she developed endometriosis, a painful, scarring condition with no known cause in which the cells that line the uterus — and sometimes other parts of the body — grow out of control. Phelps’s case went undiagnosed for years. During her first year of medical school, at Johns Hopkins, she had major abdominal surgery to reconstruct her ovaries, which had been damaged by the spreading uterine cells. But nine months later, the endometriosis had spread again. The only treatment option left was a hysterectomy and removal of her ovaries. She was 23. Her doctors balked. “The doctors didn’t have the guts to say it,” she says. “I had to beg for the thing I didn’t want. I promised myself that if I ever got well enough to finish medical school, I would never do that to a patient.”</p>
<p>At Planned Parenthood, Phelps can throw herself into that promise. “Women who come to us for abortions are sometimes scared and upset and heartbroken,” she says. They often have young children at home. “If I have the capability to help them, then I should do it. Because most people will not. So if I’m willing, how can I stand by?”</p>
<p>While doctors like Godfrey bring abortion into academia, Phelps is bringing academia to abortion. She has been working with two members of the University of Rochester OB-GYN faculty to start a joint program for residents. The idea is for all three physicians to work alongside one another at Planned Parenthood while they train younger doctors — another kind of mainstreaming.</p>
<p><strong>IF YOU THINK</strong> of the effort to increase training and access to abortion as a marathon, has it reached the halfway point? I asked Rachael Phelps a version of this question when she dropped me off at the Rochester airport. She looked out the window, at all the people whom she wished could feel the urgency she does, and pointed out that change in medicine comes slowly. “It takes 10 years from the beginning of medical school to get someone fully trained,” she said. “Remember, we’ve had a lot of catching up to do.” She brightened, mentioning a family-planning faculty position at Syracuse University that had just been filled after a three-year search. “It is changing,” she said. “When I was in medical school, there was no curriculum, no national conferences with exposure to speakers with amazing training. Now I’m here, and so are my colleagues at the university, and we have this new person coming to Syracuse. It’s so much easier when you’re not on your own.”</p>
<p>Emily Godfrey, too, is looking ahead. She’s about to apply for tenure — the only clinical faculty member in her department to do so. “You know, we’re now getting to the point where the people in our cohort are starting to take on these positions at the senior level,” she said. “It kind of makes you laugh, to think of yourself like that. But we see the new residents and fellows coming in, and we have a whole structure set up for them.”</p>
<p>We were talking in the office of one of Godfrey’s OB-GYN colleagues. The door opened, and a 33-year-old family-planning fellow walked in. She and Godfrey conferred about a paper they’re writing together. Then the younger doctor hurried off. She had patients to call.</p>
<div>
<p> </p>
<p>Emily Bazelon, a contributing writer, is a senior editor at Slate and the Truman Capote law-and-media fellow at Yale Law School.</p>
<p> </p></div>
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		<title>In violation of Medical Ethics and International Law: Israel Restricts the Access of Gaza Patients to Urgent Medical Treatment if their Condition is Not Life-Threatening</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/01/in-violation-of-medical-ethics-and-international-law-israel-restricts-the-access-of-gaza-patients-to-urgent-medical-treatment-if-their-condition-is-not-life-threatening/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/01/in-violation-of-medical-ethics-and-international-law-israel-restricts-the-access-of-gaza-patients-to-urgent-medical-treatment-if-their-condition-is-not-life-threatening/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Jul 2010 14:34:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Emergency Preparedness]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[[reliefweb] A new position paper by three human rights organizations, Physicians for Human Rights-Israel (PHR-IL), Al-Mezan and Adalah, reviews Israel&#8217;s exit policy at the Erez Crossing regarding Gaza patients seeking medical treatment unavailable in Gaza. The paper argues that there is a consistent Israeli policy of distinguishing between life-threatening cases and cases that affect quality [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/MMAO-86WG54?OpenDocument">reliefweb</a>] A new position paper by three human rights organizations, Physicians for Human Rights-Israel (PHR-IL), Al-Mezan and Adalah, reviews Israel&#8217;s exit policy at the Erez Crossing regarding Gaza patients seeking medical treatment unavailable in Gaza. The paper argues that there is a consistent Israeli policy of distinguishing between life-threatening cases and cases that affect quality of life, as a basis to deny their exit from the Strip for medical treatment, which violates the principles of medical ethics and international law.</p>
<p>This conclusion is based on an analysis of Israel&#8217;s rejections of applications submitted by Gaza patients during 2009, which found a strong correlation between cases considered life-threatening and permit approval rates. It should be stressed that cases which are not defined as life-threatening, and which were denied by Israel, can still be clinically urgent: this includes, for example, conditions that can lead to the loss of limbs, organs, or eyesight.</p>
<p>The organizations argue that Israel must allow every patient requiring medical treatment that is unavailable in Gaza access to treatment outside the Strip without delay.<span id="more-1817"></span></p>
<p>The policy, which was first adopted on June 2007, is still in effect today. In the past few weeks, PHR-IL has received about 40 applications from Gaza patients whose requests to exit Gaza to receive medical treatment had been rejected by the Israeli security authorities. This is an extraordinarily high number of rejections in a relatively short period of time, which calls for special attention, given that all of these patients suffer from non-life-threatening medical conditions. On June 15, 2010, after 11 individual requests submitted by PHR-IL to the Israeli security authorities had been rejected, PHR-IL submitted a collective request in behalf of the 28 remaining patients, asking the security authorities to reconsider their cases.</p>
<p>Distinguishing between a life-threatening medical state and one that hinders quality of life – while denying medical treatment in cases which are not life-threatening – contradicts the principles of medical ethics. These principles mandate that all patients are entitled to the best available medical treatment, regardless of the urgency of the treatment or the severity of their clinical state.</p>
<p>Such a policy also contradicts international humanitarian law and international human rights law, which uphold the rights to life, physical integrity and dignity. The right to medical treatment is integral to these rights, which are also recognized as fundamental rights under Israeli law.</p>
<p>Dr. Harel Arzi, Specialist in Orthopedic Surgery and PHR-IL volunteer: &#8216;The difference between causing individuals to suffer from defects on purpose and causing them to suffer from defects or disability by denying them medical treatment for an existing condition – this difference is merely semantic. Whoever prevents patients from accessing medical treatment by restricting their movement is directly responsible for their medical condition, even if he or she did not cause this condition.&#8217;</p>
<p>According to the organizations, the withholding of treatment from Gaza patients who do not fall within Israel&#8217;s delineated medical criteria is the result of considerations that are foreign to medicine, among which are political considerations. Furthermore, deliberately withholding medical treatment from patients in need in order to achieve political goals is a form of collective punishment, prohibited under international humanitarian law. It constitutes a further layer of Israel&#8217;s policy of tightening the closure of the Gaza Strip, imposing hardship on its residents and limiting their movement, and should be halted immediately.</p>
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		<title>Now scientists read your mind better than you can</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/06/24/now-scientists-read-your-mind-better-than-you-can/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/06/24/now-scientists-read-your-mind-better-than-you-can/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jun 2010 10:03:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Neural Ethics]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1815</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[Reuters] Brain scans may be able to predict what you will do better than you can yourself, and might offer a powerful tool for advertisers or health officials seeking to motivate consumers, researchers said on Tuesday.
They found a way to interpret &#8220;real time&#8221; brain images to show whether people who viewed messages about using sunscreen [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE65L67E20100622?loomia_ow=t0:s0:a49:g43:r1:c0.153846:b35124334:z0">Reuters</a>] Brain scans may be able to predict what you will do better than you can yourself, and might offer a powerful tool for advertisers or health officials seeking to motivate consumers, researchers said on Tuesday.</p>
<p>They found a way to interpret &#8220;real time&#8221; brain images to show whether people who viewed messages about using sunscreen would actually use sunscreen during the following week.</p>
<p>The scans were more accurate than the volunteers were, Emily Falk and colleagues at the University of California Los Angeles reported in the Journal of Neuroscience.  &#8220;We are trying to figure out whether there is hidden wisdom that the brain contains,&#8221; Falk said in a telephone interview.</p>
<p>&#8220;Many people &#8216;decide&#8217; to do things, but then don&#8217;t do them,&#8221; Matthew Lieberman, a professor of psychology who led the study, added in a statement.<span id="more-1815"></span></p>
<p>But with functional magnetic resonance imaging or fMRI, Falk and colleagues were able to go beyond good intentions to predict actual behavior.</p>
<p>FMRI uses a magnetic field to measure blood flow in the brain. It can show which brain regions are more active compared to others, but requires careful interpretation.</p>
<p>Falk&#8217;s team recruited 20 young men and women for their experiment. While in the fMRI scanner they read and listened to messages about the safe use of sunscreen, mixed in with other messages so they would not guess what the experiment was about.</p>
<p>&#8220;On day one of the experiment, before the scanning session, each participant indicated their sunscreen use over the prior week, their intentions to use sunscreen in the next week and their attitudes toward sunscreen,&#8221; the researchers wrote.</p>
<p>After they saw the messages, the volunteers answered more questions about their intentions, and then got a goody bag that contained, among other things, sunscreen towelettes.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;A week later we did a surprise follow up to find out whether they had used sunscreen,&#8221; Falk said in a telephone interview.</p>
<p>About half the volunteers had correctly predicted whether they would use sunscreen. The research team analyzed and re-analyzed the MRI scans to see if they could find any brain activity that would do better.</p>
<p>Activity in one area of the brain, a particular part of the medial prefrontal cortex, provided the best information.</p>
<p>&#8220;From this region of the brain, we can predict for about three-quarters of the people whether they will increase their use of sunscreen beyond what they say they will do,&#8221; Lieberman said.</p>
<p>&#8220;It is the one region of the prefrontal cortex that we know is disproportionately larger in humans than in other primates,&#8221; he added. &#8220;This region is associated with self-awareness, and seems to be critical for thinking about yourself and thinking about your preferences and values.&#8221;</p>
<p>Now, Falk said, the team is looking for other regions of the brain that might add to the accuracy of the technique.</p>
<p>While the findings can be important for advertisers seeking to hone a motivational message, they can be equally important for public health experts trying to persuade people to make healthier choices, Falk said.</p>
<p>The team is now preparing a report on experiments to predict whether people would quit smoking after seeing motivational messages.</p>
<p>(Editing by <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/search/journalist.php?edition=us&amp;n=sandra.maler&amp;">Sandra Maler</a>)</p>
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		<title>Research project takes genetics to African roots</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/06/23/research-project-takes-genetics-to-african-roots/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/06/23/research-project-takes-genetics-to-african-roots/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jun 2010 14:02:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Genetic Testing and Privacy Issues]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[[Reuters] A $37 million international collaboration by major research bodies in the United States, Britain and Africa wants to take the fruits of the genetic revolution to a continent it has largely bypassed until now.
The project, named Human Heredity and Health in Africa or &#8220;H3Africa,&#8221; will use genetic techniques developed in the West to explore [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE65L6DC20100622">Reuters</a>] A $37 million international collaboration by major research bodies in the United States, Britain and Africa wants to take the fruits of the genetic revolution to a continent it has largely bypassed until now.</p>
<p>The project, named Human Heredity and Health in Africa or &#8220;H3Africa,&#8221; will use genetic techniques developed in the West to explore the roots of human life among populations that carry the world&#8217;s oldest and most diverse sets of genes.</p>
<p>Founders of the plan say that 10 years after the first full human genome was mapped, what scientists can learn about genetic variation and disease in Africa will have global relevance.</p>
<p>&#8220;Africa is the cradle of humanity, so things that we learn in Africa will undoubtedly have broad implications for peoples in all other parts of the planet,&#8221; said Francis Collins, director of the U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH).</p>
<p>But the idea is also to free Africa from what some describe as &#8220;scientific colonialism,&#8221; and to try to halt a brain drain of researchers who have tended to leave the continent to study the ups and downs of its health from afar.<span id="more-1812"></span></p>
<p>Bongani Mayosi, head of the department of medicine at the University of Cape Town, said the project represents &#8220;a very, very important shift in the way science is done in Africa.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Up until now, we have been operating almost in a colonial mode of doing science, where people from outside Africa have been coming to collect samples, and then processing them and publishing their papers outside Africa,&#8221; Mayosi said at a briefing in London to explain the project.</p>
<p>&#8220;What is different about this initiative is that it seeks to do science in Africa, by Africans and for Africans.&#8221;</p>
<p>HUGE NEED, BUT LITTLE CAPACITY</p>
<p>With $25 million from the NIH and $12 million from the London-based global charity the Wellcome Trust, H3Africa plans to build expertise in countries where it is much needed but sorely lacking, so that African scientists can in future conduct large, robust scientific studies on their own people.</p>
<p>Researchers will help set up &#8216;biobanks&#8217; to collect DNA and medical information from hundreds of thousands of African people so that scientists can study links between genes and disease.</p>
<p>They also hope to set up or build on local research centers and use genome-wide scanning and sequencing technologies to find genetic change that may contribute to specific illnesses.</p>
<p>Some studies will focus on the role genes play in Africa&#8217;s biggest killer diseases &#8212; malaria, tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS &#8212; while others will look at conditions like high blood pressure, heart disease and stroke, all of which are becoming widespread in African populations.</p>
<p>Despite the huge burden of infectious disease that it carries, Africa lags the rest of the world in health research: a report from Thomson Reuters in April found its contribution to the global body of scientific research is very small and does little to benefit its own populations.</p>
<p>It said Africa suffers from a &#8220;hemorrhage of talent,&#8221; with many of its best brains leaving to study abroad.</p>
<p>LARGELY IGNORED, UNTIL NOW</p>
<p>Speaking in a week when scientists are marking the 10th anniversary of the publication of the first draft of the human genome, Charles Rotimi, president of the African Society of Human Genetics, said his continent had been largely ignored by the genetic revolution.</p>
<p>In the U.S., Europe and Asia, ever faster gene sequencing tools have enabled scientists to begin to untangle the genetic roots of many major diseases and explore their links and interactions with environment and lifestyle factors like diet.</p>
<p>Genome-wide association studies, which scan gene maps, are an important tool in this work. But of the hundreds of such studies conducted in the past decade, only one, on malaria, was based on African populations &#8212; a state of affairs that Rotimi described as &#8220;really tragic.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;It is clear that so far we have not equally applied the tools of genomics,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;Africa is the trunk and root of human evolutionary history, so what we get from there is going to be equally important to other parts of the world.&#8221;</p>
<p>(Editing by <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/search/journalist.php?edition=us&amp;n=mark.trevelyan&amp;">Mark Trevelyan</a>)</p>
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		<title>Efforts to Increase Minority Organ Donations Show Success</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/06/15/efforts-to-increase-minority-organ-donations-show-success/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/06/15/efforts-to-increase-minority-organ-donations-show-success/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jun 2010 21:57:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Doctor-Patient Conflicts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Human Rights and Discrimination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Organ Donation and Transplants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resource Allocation]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[[Medscape] The proportion of organ donors from U.S. minority groups has increased substantially in the past 20 years, following national education efforts to raise awareness of the need, a new study finds.
Kidney transplants, for example, have a greater chance of success when the donor and recipient are as genetically similar as possible. But historically, organ [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/723149?src=mp&amp;spon=29&amp;uac=105808FV">Medscape</a>] The proportion of organ donors from U.S. minority groups has increased substantially in the past 20 years, following national education efforts to raise awareness of the need, a new study finds.</p>
<p>Kidney transplants, for example, have a greater chance of success when the donor and recipient are as genetically similar as possible. But historically, organ donations from minority groups lagged far behind the need. Surveys have identified a number of reasons &#8212; including lack of awareness of the need for donor organs, distrust of the medical establishment, and a belief that their religion disapproves of organ donation (although most religions have no rules against donation).<span id="more-1800"></span></p>
<p>In the 1990s, the National Minority Organ Tissue Transplant Education Program (MOTTEP) was launched to raise awareness of the need for minority organ donors. And the effort seems to be paying off, according to the new study, led by MOTTEP founder Dr. Clive Callender, a transplant surgeon at Howard University in Washington, D.C.</p>
<p>Using data from the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), Dr. Callender and colleagues found that between 1990 and 2008, minority donation percentages in the U.S. went from 15% to 30% percent.</p>
<p>The rate of African-American donors more than doubled during those same years &#8212; from 22 to 53 per million. Meanwhile, the rates among Hispanics rose from 23 to 50 per million, and those of Asians climbed from 10 to 35 per million.</p>
<p>The findings are published in the May issue of the Journal of the American College of Surgeons.</p>
<p>MOTTEP runs media campaigns and works with various local organizations, including schools and social, civic and religious groups, to raise awareness of the need for organ donors. It also educates minorities on how to lower their risk of developing kidney disease.</p>
<p>The current findings suggest that the programs are having an impact, according to Dr. Callender&#8217;s team.</p>
<p>Along with the UNOS data, the researchers studied survey data from nearly 6,800 12- to 18-year-olds who have taken part in MOTTEP programs. As a group, the teenagers showed significant shifts in their understanding of kidney failure, organ and tissue donation, and their plans for becoming donor in the future.</p>
<p>Despite the progress, however, donor-organ shortages remain the number-one problem in organ transplantation. According to UNOS, more than 107,000 Americans are on the national waiting list for organ transplants, with about 85,000 waiting for donor kidneys. As of late 2009, minority group members accounted for 61% percent of the renal transplant waiting list.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.journalacs.org/article/S1072-7515(10)00122-5/abstract" target="_blank">http://www.journalacs.org/article/S1072-7515(10)00122-5/abstract</a></p>
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		<title>Merely Human? That’s So Yesterday</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/06/14/merely-human-that%e2%80%99s-so-yesterday/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/06/14/merely-human-that%e2%80%99s-so-yesterday/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jun 2010 05:03:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Biotechnology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk Exposure & Bioethics]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[[NYT] ON a Tuesday evening this spring, Sergey Brin, the co-founder of Google, became part man and part machine. About 40 people, all gathered here at a NASA campus for a nine-day, $15,000 course at Singularity University, saw it happen.

While the flesh-and-blood version of Mr. Brin sat miles away at a computer capable of remotely steering [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" src="http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2010/06/13/business/13sing_cover/13sing_cover-articleInline.jpg" alt="" width="190" height="238" />[<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/13/business/13sing.html?hpw=&amp;pagewanted=all">NYT</a>] ON a Tuesday evening this spring, Sergey Brin, the co-founder of Google, became part man and part machine. About 40 people, all gathered here at a NASA campus for a nine-day, $15,000 course at Singularity University, saw it happen.</p>
<div>
<p>While the flesh-and-blood version of Mr. Brin sat miles away at a computer capable of remotely steering a robot, the gizmo rolling around here consisted of a printer-size base with wheels attached to a boxy, head-height screen glowing with an image of Mr. Brin’s face. The BrinBot obeyed its human commander and sputtered around from group to group, talking to attendees about Google and other topics via a videoconferencing system.</p>
<p>The BrinBot was hardly something out of “Star Trek.” It had a rudimentary, no-frills design and was a hodgepodge of loosely integrated technologies. Yet it also smacked of a future that the <a title="The school’s Web site." href="http://singularityu.org/">Singularity University</a> founders hold dear and often discuss with a techno-utopian bravado: the arrival of the Singularity — a time, possibly just a couple decades from now, when a superior intelligence will dominate and life will take on an altered form that we can’t predict or comprehend in our current, limited state.</p>
<p>At that point, the Singularity holds, human beings and machines will so effortlessly and elegantly merge that poor health, the ravages of old age and even death itself will all be things of the past.</p>
<p>Some of Silicon Valley’s smartest and wealthiest people have embraced the Singularity. They believe that technology may be the only way to solve the world’s ills, while also allowing people to seize control of the evolutionary process. For those who haven’t noticed, the Valley’s most-celebrated company — Google — works daily on building a giant brain that harnesses the thinking power of humans in order to surpass the thinking power of humans.</p>
<p>Larry Page, Google’s other co-founder, helped set up Singularity University in 2008, and the company has supported it with more than $250,000 in donations. Some of Google’s earliest employees are, thanks to personal donations of $100,000 each, among the university’s “founding circle.” (Mr. Page did not respond to interview requests.)</p>
<p>The university represents the more concrete side of the Singularity, and focuses on introducing entrepreneurs to promising technologies. Hundreds of students worldwide apply to snare one of 80 available spots in a separate 10-week “graduate” course that costs $25,000. Chief executives, inventors, doctors and investors jockey for admission to the more intimate, nine-day courses called executive programs.</p>
<p>Both courses include face time with leading thinkers in the areas of nanotechnology, artificial intelligence, energy, biotech, robotics and computing.</p>
<p>On a more millennialist and provocative note, the Singularity also offers a modern-day, quasi-religious answer to the Fountain of Youth by affirming the notion that, yes indeed, humans — or at least something derived from them — can have it all.</p>
<p>“We will transcend all of the limitations of our biology,” says <a title="His Web site." href="http://www.kurzweilai.net/index.html?flash=1">Raymond Kurzweil</a>, the inventor and businessman who is the Singularity’s most ubiquitous spokesman and boasts that he intends to live for hundreds of years and resurrect the dead, including his own father. “That is what it means to be human — to extend who we are.”</p>
<p>But, of course, one person’s utopia is another person’s dystopia.<span id="more-1796"></span></p>
<p>In the years since the Unabomber, Theodore J. Kaczynski, violently inveighed against the predations of technology, plenty of other more sober and sophisticated warnings have arrived. There are camps of environmentalists who decry efforts to manipulate nature, challenges from religious groups that see the Singularity as a version of “Frankenstein” in which people play at being gods, and technologists who fear a runaway artificial intelligence that subjugates humans.</p>
<p>A popular network television show, <a title="The show’s Web site." href="http://www.fox.com/fringe/">“Fringe,”</a> playfully explores some of these concerns by featuring a mad scientist and a team of federal agents investigating crimes related to the Pattern — an influx of threatening events caused by out-of-control technology like computer programs that melt brains and genetically engineered chimeras that go on killing sprees.</p>
<p>Some of the Singularity’s adherents portray a future where humans break off into two species: the Haves, who have superior intelligence and can live for hundreds of years, and the Have-Nots, who are hampered by their antiquated, corporeal forms and beliefs.</p>
<p>Of course, some people will opt for inadequacy, while others will have inadequacy thrust upon them. Critics find such scenarios unnerving because the keys to the next phase of evolution may be beyond the grasp of most people.</p>
<p>“The Singularity is not the great vision for society that Lenin had or Milton Friedman might have,” says Andrew Orlowski, a British journalist who has <a title="His writings." href="http://www.badpress.net/stories/utopians.html">written extensively on techno-utopianism</a>. “It is rich people building a lifeboat and getting off the ship.”</p>
<p>Peter A. Thiel, a co-founder of PayPal and a major investor in Facebook, is a Singularity devotee who offers a “Singularity or bust” scenario.</p>
<p>“It may not happen, but there are a lot of technologies that need to be developed for a whole series of problems to be solved,” he says. “I think there is no good future in which it doesn’t happen.”</p>
<p><strong>‘Transcendent Man’</strong></p>
<p>In late August, Mr. Kurzweil will begin a cross-country multimedia road show to promote “<a title="The film’s Web site." href="http://transcendentman.com/">Transcendent Man</a>,” a documentary about his life and beliefs. Another of his projects, “<a title="The film’s Web site." href="http://www.singularity.com/themovie/index.php">The Singularity Is Near</a>: A True Story About the Future,” has also started to make its way around the film festival circuit.</p>
<p>Throughout “Transcendent Man,” Mr. Kurzweil is presented almost as a mystic, sitting in a chair with a shimmering, circular light floating around his head as he explains his philosophy’s basic tenets. During one scene at a beach, he is asked what he’s thinking as he stares out at a beautiful sunset with waves rolling in and wind tussling his hair.</p>
<p>“Well, I was thinking about how much computation is represented by the ocean,” he replies. “I mean, it’s all these water molecules interacting with each other. That’s computation.”</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil is the writer, producer and co-director of “The Singularity Is Near,” the tale of Ramona, a virtual being he builds that gradually becomes more human, battles hordes of microscopic robots and taps the lawyer Alan M. Dershowitz for legal advice and the motivational guru Tony Robbins for guidance on personal interactions.</p>
<p>With his glasses, receding hairline and lecturer’s ease, Mr. Kurzweil, 62, seems more professor than thespian. His films are just another facet of the Kurzweil franchise, which includes best-selling books, lucrative speaking engagements, blockbuster inventions and a line of health supplements called <a title="The storefront." href="http://www.rayandterry.com/index.asp">Ray &amp; Terry’s</a> (developed with the physician Terry Grossman).</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil credits a low-fat, vegetable-rich diet and regular exercise for his trim frame, and says he conquered diabetes decades ago by changing what he ate and later reprogramming his body with supplements. He currently takes about 150 pills a day and has regular intravenous procedures. He is also co-writer of a pair of health books, “<a title="The book’s Web site." href="http://www.fantastic-voyage.net/">Fantastic Voyage</a>: Live Long Enough to Live Forever” and “<a title="The book’s Web site." href="http://www.rayandterry.com/transcend/">Transcend</a>: Nine Steps to Living Well Forever.”</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil routinely taps into early memories that explain his lifelong passion for inventing. “My parents gave me all these construction toys, and sometimes I would put things together, and they would do something cool,” he says. “I got the idea that you could change the world for the better with invention — that you could put things together in just the right way, and they would have transcendent effects.</p>
<p>“That was kind of the religion of my family: the power of human ideas.”</p>
<p>A child prodigy, he <a title="His game show appearance." href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4Neivqp2K4">stunned television audiences</a> in 1965, when he was 17, with a computer he had built that composed music. A couple of years later, in college, he developed a computer program that would seek the best college fit for high school students. A New York publishing house bought the company for $100,000, plus royalties.</p>
<p>“Most of us were going to school to get knowledge and a degree,” says Aaron Kleiner, who studied with Mr. Kurzweil at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and later became his business partner. “He saw school as a tool that let him do what he needed to do.”</p>
<p>Some of Mr. Kurzweil’s better-known inventions include the first print-scanning systems that converted text to speech and allowed the blind to read standard texts, as well as sophisticated electronic keyboards and voice-recognition software. He has made millions selling his inventions, and his companies continue developing other products, like software for securities traders and e-readers for digital publications.</p>
<p>He began his march toward the Singularity around 1980, when he started plotting things like the speed of chips and memory capacity inside computers and realized that some elements of information technology improved at predictable — and exponential — rates.</p>
<p>“With 30 linear steps, you get to 30,” he often says in speeches. “With 30 steps exponentially, you get to one billion. The price-performance of computers has improved one billion times since I was a student. In 25 years, a computer as powerful as today’s smartphones will be the size of a blood cell.”</p>
<p>His fascination with exponential trends eventually led him to construct an elaborate philosophy, illustrated in charts, that provided an analytical backbone for the Singularity and other ideas that had been floating around science-fiction circles for decades.</p>
<p>As far back as the 1950s, John von Neumann, the mathematician, is said to have talked about a “singularity” — an event in which the always-accelerating pace of technology would alter the course of human affairs. And, in 1993, Vernor Vinge, a science fiction writer, computer scientist and math professor, wrote a research paper called “<a title="The paper." href="http://mindstalk.net/vinge/vinge-sing.html">The Coming Technological Singularity</a>: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era.”</p>
<p>“Within 30 years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence,” Mr. Vinge wrote. “Shortly after, the human era will be ended.”</p>
<p>In “The Singularity Is Near,” Mr. Kurzweil posits that technological progress in this century will be 1,000 times greater than that of the last century. He writes about humans trumping biology by filling their bodies with nanoscale creatures that can repair cells and by allowing their minds to tap into super-intelligent computers.</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil writes: “Once nonbiological intelligence gets a foothold in the human brain (this has already started with computerized neural implants), the machine intelligence in our brains will grow exponentially (as it has been doing all along), at least doubling in power each year.</p>
<p>“Ultimately, the entire universe will become saturated with our intelligence,” he continues. “This is the destiny of the universe.”</p>
<p>The underlying premise of the Singularity responds to people’s insecurity about the speed of social and technological change in the computer era. Mr. Kurzweil posits that the computer and the Internet have changed society much faster than electricity, phones or television, and that the next great leap will occur when industries like medicine and energy start moving at the same exponential pace as I.T.</p>
<p>He believes that this latter stage will occur when we learn to manipulate DNA more effectively and arrange atoms and have readily available computers that surpass the human brain.</p>
<p>In 1970, well before the era of nanobot doctors, Mr. Kurzweil’s father, Fredric, died of a heart attack at his home in Queens. Fredric was 58, and Ray was 22. Since then, Mr. Kurzweil has filled a storage space with his father’s effects — photographs, letters, bills and newspaper clippings. In a world where computers and humans merge, Mr. Kurzweil expects that these documents can be combined with memories harvested from his own brain, and then possibly with Fredric’s DNA, to effect a partial resurrection of his father.</p>
<p>By the 2030s, most people will be able to achieve mental immortality by similarly backing up their brains, Mr. Kurzweil predicts, as the Singularity starts to come into full flower.</p>
<p>Despite such optimism, some Singularitarians aren’t all that fond of Mr. Kurzweil.</p>
<p>“I think he’s a genius and has certainly brought a lot of these ideas into the public discourse,” says James J. Hughes, the executive director of the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies, a nonprofit that studies the implications of advancing technology. “But there are plenty of people that say he has hijacked the Singularity term.”</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil says that he is simply trying to put analytical clothing on the concept so that people can think more clearly about the future. And regardless of any debate about his intentions, if you’re encountering the Singularity in the business world and elsewhere today, it’s most likely his take.</p>
<p><strong>Bursts of Innovation</strong></p>
<p>Peter H. Diamandis, 49, is a small man with a wide, bright smile and a thick mound of dark hair. He routinely holds meetings by cellphone and can usually be found typing away on his laptop. He went to medical school to make his mother happy but has always dreamed of heading to outer space.</p>
<p>He is also a firm believer in the Singularity and is a technocelebrity in his own right, primarily through his role in commercializing space travel. At a recent Singularity University lunch, he hopped up to make a speech peppered with passion and conviction.</p>
<p>“My target is to live 700 years,” he declared.</p>
<p>The students chuckled.</p>
<p>“I say that seriously,” he retorted.</p>
<p>The NASA site, the <a title="NASA’s page for the center." href="http://www.nasa.gov/centers/ames/home/index.html">Ames Research Center</a>, houses an odd collection of unusual buildings, including a giant wind tunnel, a huge supercomputing center and a flight simulator facility with equipment capable throwing people 60 feet into the air.</p>
<p>Today, the government operates NASA Ames as a bustling, public-sector-meets-private-sector technology bazaar. Start-ups, universities and corporations have set up shop here, and Google plans to build a new campus here over the next few years that will include housing for workers.</p>
<p>A nondescript structure, Building 20, is the Singularity University headquarters, and most students stay in nearby apartments on the NASA land. Mr. Kurzweil set up the school with Mr. Diamandis, who, as chief executive of the <a title="Its Web site." href="http://www.xprize.org/">X Prize Foundation</a>, doled out $10 million in 2004 to a team that sent a private spacecraft 100 kilometers above the earth. Google has offered $30 million in rewards for an X Prize project intended to inspire a private team to send a robot to the moon. And a $10 million prize will go to the first team that can sequence 100 human genomes in 10 days at a cost of $10,000 or less each — which, in theory, would turn an expensive, complex lab exercise into an ordinary affair.</p>
<p>Mr. Diamandis champions the idea that large prizes inspire rapid bursts of innovation and may pave a path to that 700-year lifetime.</p>
<p>“I don’t think it’s a matter of if,” he says. “I think it’s a matter of how. You and I have a decent shot, and for kids being born today, I think it will be a matter of choice.”</p>
<p>For the most part, Mr. Kurzweil serves as a figurehead of Singularity University, while Mr. Diamandis steers the institution. He pitches the graduate student program as a way to train young, inspired people to think exponentially and solve the world’s biggest problems — to develop projects that will “change the lives of one billion people,” as the in-house mantra goes.</p>
<p>Mr. Diamandis hopes that the university can create an unrivaled network of graduates and bold thinkers — a Harvard Business School for the future — who can put its ideas into action. Along with that goal, he’s considering creating a venture capital fund to help turn the university’s big ideas into big businesses. As some of their favored student creations, school leaders point to a rapid disaster alert-and-response system and a venture that lets individuals rent their cars to other people via cellphone.</p>
<p><a title="A profile of Mr. Fidler." href="http://singularityu.org/programs/graduate-studies-program/gsp-09/students/devin-fidler/">Devin Fidler</a>, a former student, is in the midst of securing funding for a company that will build a portable machine that squirts out a cement-like goop that allows builders to erect an entire house, layer by layer. Such technology could almost eliminate labor costs and bring better housing to low-income areas.</p>
<p>Mr. Diamandis has certainly built a selective institution. More than 1,600 people applied for just 40 spots in the inaugural graduate program held last year. A second, 10-week graduate program will kick off this month with 80 students, culled from 1,200 applicants.</p>
<p>One incoming student, <a title="A profile of Mr. Dalrymple." href="http://esp.mit.edu/learn/teachers/davidad/bio.html">David Dalrymple</a>, is an 18-year-old working on his doctorate from M.I.T.. He says he plans to start a research institute someday to explore artificial intelligence, medicine, space systems and energy. (He met Mr. Kurzweil at a White House dinner, and at the age of 8 accepted the offer to have Mr. Kurzweil serve as his mentor.)</p>
<p>During the spring executive program, about 30 people — almost all of them men — showed up for the course, which is something of a mental endurance test. Days begin at dawn with group exercise sessions. Coursework runs until about 9 p.m.; then philosophizing over wine and popcorn goes until midnight or later. A former Google chef prepares special meals — all of which are billed as “life extending” — for the executives.</p>
<p>The meat of the executive program is lectures, company tours and group thought exercises.</p>
<p>Day 4 includes test drives of Tesla Motors electric sports cars and a group genetic test, thanks to a company called <a title="Its site." href="http://www.decodeme.com/">deCODEme</a>. By Day 6, people are annoyed by the BrinBot, which is interrupting lectures with its whirs and sputters. Someone tapes a pair of paper ears on it to try to humanize it. One executive sullenly declines to participate in another robot design exercise because no one in his group will consider making a sexbot.</p>
<p>However much the Singularity informs the environment here, a majority of the executives attending the spring course expressed less interest in living forever and more in figuring out their next business venture or where they wanted to invest.</p>
<p>Robin Tedder, a Scottish baron who lives in Australia and divides his time among managing a personal fortune, racing a yacht and running a vineyard, says he read about Singularity University in an investor newsletter and checked out the Web site.</p>
<p>“What really convinced me to pay the 15 grand was that I didn’t think it was some kind of hoax,” Mr. Tedder said in an interview after he completed the executive program. “I looked at the people involved and thought it was the real deal. In retrospect, I think it’s a very good value.”</p>
<p>Like a number of other participants, Mr. Tedder is contemplating business ventures with his classmates and points to high-octane networking as the school’s major benefit.</p>
<p>Attendees at the spring session came from all over the globe and included John Mauldin, a best-selling author who writes an investment newsletter; Stephen Long, a research director at the Defense Department; Fernando A. de la Viesca, C.E.O. of the Argentinean investment firm TPCG Financial; Eitan Eliram, the new-media director for the prime minister’s office in Israel; and Guy Fraker, the director of trends and foresight at State Farm Insurance.</p>
<p>“We end up cleaning up the mess of unintended consequences,” says Mr. Fraker of his company’s work. He says it makes sense for him to gauge technological trends in case humans can one day gain new tools for averting catastrophes. For example, he’s confident that in the future people will have the ability to steer hurricanes away from populated areas.</p>
<p>Executives in the spring program also heard that some young people had started leaving college to set up their own synthetic biology labs on the cheap. Such people resemble computer tinkerers from a generation earlier, attendees note, except now they’re fiddling with the genetic code of organisms rather than software.</p>
<p>“Biology is moving outside of the traditional education sphere,” says Andrew Hessel, a former research operations manager at Amgen, during a lecture here. “The students are teaching their professors. This is happening faster than the computer evolved. These students don’t have newsletters. They have Web sites.”</p>
<p><a title="The school’s profile of him." href="http://www.jsc.nasa.gov/Bios/htmlbios/barry.html">Daniel T. Barry</a>, a Singularity University professor, gives a lecture about the falling cost of robotics technology and how these types of systems are close to entering the home. Dr. Barry, a former astronaut and “Survivor” contestant with an M.D. and a Ph. D., has put his ideas into action. He has a robot at home that can take a pizza from the delivery person, pay for it and carry it into the kitchen.</p>
<p>“You have the robot say, ‘Take the 20 and leave the pizza on top of me,’ ” Dr. Barry says. “I get the pizza about a third of the time.”</p>
<p>Other lecturers talk about a coming onslaught of biomedical advances as thousands of people have their genomes decoded. Jason Bobe, who works on <a title="The project’s Web site." href="http://thepersonalgenome.com/">the Personal Genome Project</a>, an effort backed by the Harvard Medical School to establish a huge database of genetic information, points to forecasts that a million people will have their genomes decoded by 2014.</p>
<p>“The machines for doing this will be in your kitchen next to the toaster,” Mr. Bobe says.</p>
<p>Mr. Hessel describes an even more dramatic future in which people create hybrid pets based on the body parts of different animals and tweak the genetic makeup of plants so they resemble things like chairs and tables, allowing us to grow fields of everyday objects for home and work. Mr. Hessel, like Mr. Kurzweil, thinks that people will use genetic engineering techniques to grow meat in factories rather than harvesting it from dead animals.</p>
<p>“I know in 10 years it will be a junior-high project to build a bacteria,” says Mr. Hessel. “This is what happens when we get control over the code of life. We are just on the cusp of that.”</p>
<p>Christopher deCharms, another Singularity University speaker, runs <a title="The company’s Web site." href="http://www.omneuron.com/">Omneuron</a>, a start-up in Menlo Park, Calif., that <a title="A past Times article about the company." href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/26/business/yourmoney/26stream.html">pushes the limits</a> of brain imaging technology. He’s trying to pull information out of the brain via sensing systems, so that there can be some quantification of people’s levels of depression and pain.</p>
<p>“We are at the forefront today of being able to read out real information from the human brain of single individuals,” he tells the executives.</p>
<p><strong>Preparing to Evolve</strong></p>
<p>Richard A. Clarke, former head of counterterrorism at the National Security Council, has followed Mr. Kurzweil’s work and written a science-fiction thriller, “<a title="The book on Google Books." href="http://books.google.com/books?id=fZtd6lG0H3sC&amp;lpg=PP1&amp;ots=etjPBbxqGf&amp;dq=RICHARD%20A.%20CLARKE%20breakpoint&amp;pg=PP1#v=onepage&amp;q&amp;f=false">Breakpoint</a>,” in which a group of terrorists try to halt the advance of technology. He sees major conflicts coming as the government and citizens try to wrap their heads around technology that’s just beginning to appear.</p>
<p>“There are enormous social and political issues that will arise,” Mr. Clarke says. “There are vast groups of people in society who believe the earth is 5,000 years old. If they want to slow down progress and prevent the world from changing around them and they engaged in political action or violence, then there will have to be some sort of decision point.”</p>
<p>Mr. Clarke says the government has a contingency plan for just about everything — including an attack by Canada — but has yet to think through the implications of techno-philosophies like the Singularity. (If it’s any consolation, Mr. Long of the Defense Department asked a flood of questions while attending Singularity University.)</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil himself acknowledges the possibility of grim outcomes from rapidly advancing technology but prefers to think positively. “Technological evolution is a continuation of biological evolution,” he says. “That is very much a natural process.”</p>
<p>To prepare for any rocky transitions from our benighted present to the techno-utopia of 2030 or so, a number of people tied to the Singularity movement have begun to build what they call “an education and protection framework.”</p>
<p>Among them is Keith Kleiner, who joined Google in its early days and walked away as a wealthy man in 2005. During a period of personal reflection after his departure, he read “The Singularity Is Near.” He admires Mr. Kurzweil’s vision.</p>
<p>“What he taught me was ‘Wake up, man,’ ” Mr. Kleiner says. “Yeah, computers will get faster so you can do more things and store more data, but it’s bigger than that. It starts to permeate every industry.”</p>
<p>Mr. Kleiner, 32, founded a Web site, <a href="http://singularityhub.com/" target="_">SingularityHub.com</a>, with <a title="The site’s staff." href="http://singularityhub.com/about/">a writing staff</a> that reports on radical advances in technology. He has also given $100,000 to Singularity University.</p>
<p>Sonia Arrison, <a title="The school’s profile of her." href="http://singularityu.org/people/board-of-trustees/sonia-arrison/">a founder</a> of Singularity University and the wife of one of Google’s first employees, spends her days writing a book about longevity, tentatively titled “100 Plus.” It outlines changes that people can expect as life expectancies increase, like 20-year marriages with sunset clauses.</p>
<p>She says the book and the university are her attempts to ready people for the inevitable.</p>
<p>“One day we will wake up and say, ‘Wow, we can regenerate a new liver,’ ” Ms. Arrison says. “It will happen so fast, and the role of Singularity University is to prepare people in advance.”</p>
<p>Despite all of the zeal behind the movement, there are those who look askance at its promises and prospects.</p>
<p>Jonathan Huebner, for example, is often held up as Mr. Kurzweil’s foil. A physicist who works at the Naval Air Warfare Center as a weapons designer, he, like Mr. Kurzweil, has compiled his own cathedral of graphs and lists of important inventions. <a title="An article on his “new dark age.“" href="http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn7616">He is unimpressed</a> with the state of progress and, in 2005, published in a scientific journal a paper called “<a title="The paper (PDF)." href="http://accelerating.org/articles/InnovationHuebnerTFSC2005.pdf">A Possible Declining Trend for Worldwide Innovation</a>.”</p>
<p>Measuring the number of innovations divided by the size of the worldwide population, Dr. Huebner contends that the rate of innovation peaked in 1873. Or, based on the number of patents in the United States weighed against the population, he found a peak around 1916. (Both Dr. Huebner and Mr. Kurzweil are occasionally teased about their faith in graphs.)</p>
<p>“The amount of advance in this century will not compare well at all to the last century,” Dr. Huebner says, before criticizing tenets of the Singularity. “I don’t believe that something like artificial intelligence as they describe it will ever appear.”</p>
<p>William S. Bainbridge, who has spent the last two decades evaluating grant proposals for the National Science Foundation, also sides with the skeptics.</p>
<p>“We are not seeing exponential results from the exponential gains in computing power,” he says. “I think we are at a time where progress will be increasingly difficult in many fields.</p>
<p>“We should not base ideas of the world on simplistic extrapolations of what has happened in the past,” he adds.</p>
<p><strong>‘Deus ex Machina’</strong></p>
<p>Last month, a biotech concern, Synthetic Genomics, <a title="A past Times article on the synthetic cell." href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/21/science/21cell.html">announced</a> that it had created a bacterial genome from scratch, kicking off a firestorm of discussion about the development of artificial life. J. Craig Venter, a pioneer in the human genome trade and head of Synthetic Genomics, hailed his company’s work as “the first self-replicating species we’ve had on the planet whose parent is a computer.”</p>
<p>Steve Jurvetson, a director of Synthetic Genomics, is part of a group of very rich, very bright Singularity observers who end up somewhere in the middle on the philosophy’s merits — optimistic about the growing powers of technology but pessimistic about humankind’s ability to reach a point where those forces can actually be harnessed.</p>
<p>Mr. Jurvetson, a venture capitalist and managing director of the firm Draper Fisher Jurvetson, says the advances of companies like Synthetic Genomics give him confidence that we will witness great progress in areas like biofuels and vaccines. Still, he fears that such technology could also be used maliciously — and he has a pantry filled with products like Spam and honey in case his family has to hunker down during a viral outbreak or attack.</p>
<p>“Thank God we have a swimming pool,” he says, noting that it gives him a large store of potentially potable water.</p>
<p>Mr. Orlowksi, the journalist, sees the Singularity as a grand, tech-nerd dream in which engineers, inventors and innovators of every stripe create the greatest of all reset buttons. He says the techies “seem to want a deus ex machina to make everything right again.”</p>
<p>They certainly don’t want any outside interference, and are utterly confident that they will realize the Singularity on their own terms and with their own wits — all of which fits with Silicon Valley’s strong libertarian traditions. Google and Microsoft employees trailed only members of the military as the largest individual contributors to Ron Paul’s 2008 presidential campaign.</p>
<p>The Valley’s wizards also prefer to avoid any confrontation with Washington.</p>
<p>“Dealing with politics means having to compromise and convince people of things and form alliances with people who don’t always agree with you,” Mr. Orlowski says. “They’re not wired for that.”</p>
<p><strong>Increasing Acceptance</strong></p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil is currently consulting for the Army on technology initiatives, and says he routinely talks with government and business leaders. Bill Gates, the Microsoft co-founder, appears in Mr. Kurzweil’s books and often on the back flaps with celebratory quotations.</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil and Mr. Page of Google created a renewable-energy plan for the National Academy of Engineering, advising that solar power will one day soon meet all of the world’s energy needs.</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil’s 31-year-old son, Ethan, says his father has always been ahead of the curve. The family had the first flat-screen television and car phone on the block, as well as a phone that could fax photos.</p>
<p>“We also had this thing where you put on a hat that had sensors and it would create music to match your brain waves and help you meditate,” Ethan says. “People would come over and play with it.”</p>
<p>Ethan previously worked for Linden Lab, the company behind the virtual world Second Life. These days he’s a venture capitalist at Bessemer Venture Partners. A section of the bookshelves in his office has been reserved for multiple copies of his father’s works.</p>
<p>“A lot of what he has predicted has happened, and it’s interesting to see what he’s been saying become more mainstream,” says Ethan, who looks very much like a younger version of his father. “He has a certain world view that he feels strongly about that he thinks is absolutely coming to pass. The data so far suggests it is. He’s incredibly thorough with his research, and I have confidence his critics haven’t thought things through on the same level.”</p>
<p>Indeed, Ethan says, his father is almost, well, accepted.</p>
<p>“He is seen as less weird now,” he says. “Much less weird.”</p>
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<h6>A version of this article appeared in print on June 13, 2010, on page BU1 of the New York edition.</h6>
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