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	<title>Bioethics International &#187; Risk Exposure &amp; Bioethics</title>
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	<description>Where Healthcare, Life Science &#38; Ethics Meet</description>
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		<title>Pandemic Influenza Triage in the Clinical Setting- Editorial by Jennifer Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/29/pandemic-influenza-triage-in-the-clinical-setting-editorial-by-jennifer-miller/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/07/29/pandemic-influenza-triage-in-the-clinical-setting-editorial-by-jennifer-miller/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jul 2010 09:00:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BEI News & Events - Home]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resource Allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk Exposure & Bioethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Triage]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1846</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[Prehospital and Disaster Medicine]  There have been great efforts on the federal and local levels to prepare for the specter of a severe influenza pandemic, however knowledge gaps and operational challenges remain. It is critical to assess if current top-down efforts actually are improving and/or likely to improve the ability of on-the-ground clinicians to respond [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<span style="font-family: ACaslonPro-Semibold; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ACaslonPro-Semibold; font-size: xx-small;"><a href="http://pdm.medicine.wisc.edu/Volume_25/issue_2/miller.pdf"><strong>Prehospital and Disaster Medicine</strong></a>]  </span></span>There have been great efforts on the federal and local levels to prepare for the specter of a severe influenza pandemic, however knowledge gaps and operational challenges remain. It is critical to assess if current top-down efforts actually are improving and/or likely to improve the ability of on-the-ground clinicians to respond effectively, efficiently, and ethically to the formidable healthcare challenges of a severe influenza pandemic. Because severe pandemics involve acute <em>shortages of resources</em>, such as ventilators, beds, and clinical staff, a formidable challenge will include planning for and responding to the ethical questions of <em>who will receive resources and care, when and under what conditions?</em>  Hospital clinicians, and in particular, emergency physicians, will be at the forefront of these decisions which will require more than mere technical consideration of survival probabilities and resource capabilities.  Rottman and co-authors of the study, “Pandemic Influenza Triage in the Clinical Setting”  are to be commended for recognizing the need not only to study the efficacy  of current planning efforts on the hospital level, but to particularly focus on the preparedness and willingness of hospital clinicians to make the necessary ethical decisions.</p>
<p>The study results are striking. By surveying 46 healthcare professionals, Rottman and co-authors highlight that hospital clinicians are unaware of the general and ethical challenges that occur during a pandemic. Moreover, the study shows that when hospital clinicians are made aware of the potential challenges, including triage and resource allocation decision scenarios, they are “quickly overwhelmed” and unable to reason through the scenarios and/or draw upon cohesive and consistent response action plans. This study is immensely helpful in that it demonstrates the acute preparedness and knowledge gaps regarding ethical decision- making, although the results would be statistically stronger with a larger respondent pool. This information is highly relevant because a failure by the clinical community to make ethical decisions in a pandemic not only exposes the clinician and his or her hospital to legal liability, but also is likely to lead to a failure to save the most amount of lives possible. For example, without preparedness in ethical decision-making, a clinician may decide to allocate resources and provide care on a first-come, first-served basis or lottery system. Although these two systems might seem superficially fair, this type of decision-making is not likely to maximize the total number of lives saved. Additionally, because select survey responses extend beyond pandemics to include bioterrorism and disasters generally, the study results may be applicable for consideration in multiple hazard disaster planning.</p>
<p>Continue reading editorial and study results at the journal of <strong><span style="font-family: ACaslonPro-Semibold; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: ACaslonPro-Semibold; font-size: xx-small;"><a href="http://pdm.medicine.wisc.edu/Volume_25/issue_2/miller.pdf">Prehospital and Disaster Medicine</a>.</span></span></strong></p>
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		<title>Merely Human? That’s So Yesterday</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/06/14/merely-human-that%e2%80%99s-so-yesterday/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/06/14/merely-human-that%e2%80%99s-so-yesterday/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jun 2010 05:03:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Biotechnology]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1796</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[NYT] ON a Tuesday evening this spring, Sergey Brin, the co-founder of Google, became part man and part machine. About 40 people, all gathered here at a NASA campus for a nine-day, $15,000 course at Singularity University, saw it happen.

While the flesh-and-blood version of Mr. Brin sat miles away at a computer capable of remotely steering [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" src="http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2010/06/13/business/13sing_cover/13sing_cover-articleInline.jpg" alt="" width="190" height="238" />[<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/13/business/13sing.html?hpw=&amp;pagewanted=all">NYT</a>] ON a Tuesday evening this spring, Sergey Brin, the co-founder of Google, became part man and part machine. About 40 people, all gathered here at a NASA campus for a nine-day, $15,000 course at Singularity University, saw it happen.</p>
<div>
<p>While the flesh-and-blood version of Mr. Brin sat miles away at a computer capable of remotely steering a robot, the gizmo rolling around here consisted of a printer-size base with wheels attached to a boxy, head-height screen glowing with an image of Mr. Brin’s face. The BrinBot obeyed its human commander and sputtered around from group to group, talking to attendees about Google and other topics via a videoconferencing system.</p>
<p>The BrinBot was hardly something out of “Star Trek.” It had a rudimentary, no-frills design and was a hodgepodge of loosely integrated technologies. Yet it also smacked of a future that the <a title="The school’s Web site." href="http://singularityu.org/">Singularity University</a> founders hold dear and often discuss with a techno-utopian bravado: the arrival of the Singularity — a time, possibly just a couple decades from now, when a superior intelligence will dominate and life will take on an altered form that we can’t predict or comprehend in our current, limited state.</p>
<p>At that point, the Singularity holds, human beings and machines will so effortlessly and elegantly merge that poor health, the ravages of old age and even death itself will all be things of the past.</p>
<p>Some of Silicon Valley’s smartest and wealthiest people have embraced the Singularity. They believe that technology may be the only way to solve the world’s ills, while also allowing people to seize control of the evolutionary process. For those who haven’t noticed, the Valley’s most-celebrated company — Google — works daily on building a giant brain that harnesses the thinking power of humans in order to surpass the thinking power of humans.</p>
<p>Larry Page, Google’s other co-founder, helped set up Singularity University in 2008, and the company has supported it with more than $250,000 in donations. Some of Google’s earliest employees are, thanks to personal donations of $100,000 each, among the university’s “founding circle.” (Mr. Page did not respond to interview requests.)</p>
<p>The university represents the more concrete side of the Singularity, and focuses on introducing entrepreneurs to promising technologies. Hundreds of students worldwide apply to snare one of 80 available spots in a separate 10-week “graduate” course that costs $25,000. Chief executives, inventors, doctors and investors jockey for admission to the more intimate, nine-day courses called executive programs.</p>
<p>Both courses include face time with leading thinkers in the areas of nanotechnology, artificial intelligence, energy, biotech, robotics and computing.</p>
<p>On a more millennialist and provocative note, the Singularity also offers a modern-day, quasi-religious answer to the Fountain of Youth by affirming the notion that, yes indeed, humans — or at least something derived from them — can have it all.</p>
<p>“We will transcend all of the limitations of our biology,” says <a title="His Web site." href="http://www.kurzweilai.net/index.html?flash=1">Raymond Kurzweil</a>, the inventor and businessman who is the Singularity’s most ubiquitous spokesman and boasts that he intends to live for hundreds of years and resurrect the dead, including his own father. “That is what it means to be human — to extend who we are.”</p>
<p>But, of course, one person’s utopia is another person’s dystopia.<span id="more-1796"></span></p>
<p>In the years since the Unabomber, Theodore J. Kaczynski, violently inveighed against the predations of technology, plenty of other more sober and sophisticated warnings have arrived. There are camps of environmentalists who decry efforts to manipulate nature, challenges from religious groups that see the Singularity as a version of “Frankenstein” in which people play at being gods, and technologists who fear a runaway artificial intelligence that subjugates humans.</p>
<p>A popular network television show, <a title="The show’s Web site." href="http://www.fox.com/fringe/">“Fringe,”</a> playfully explores some of these concerns by featuring a mad scientist and a team of federal agents investigating crimes related to the Pattern — an influx of threatening events caused by out-of-control technology like computer programs that melt brains and genetically engineered chimeras that go on killing sprees.</p>
<p>Some of the Singularity’s adherents portray a future where humans break off into two species: the Haves, who have superior intelligence and can live for hundreds of years, and the Have-Nots, who are hampered by their antiquated, corporeal forms and beliefs.</p>
<p>Of course, some people will opt for inadequacy, while others will have inadequacy thrust upon them. Critics find such scenarios unnerving because the keys to the next phase of evolution may be beyond the grasp of most people.</p>
<p>“The Singularity is not the great vision for society that Lenin had or Milton Friedman might have,” says Andrew Orlowski, a British journalist who has <a title="His writings." href="http://www.badpress.net/stories/utopians.html">written extensively on techno-utopianism</a>. “It is rich people building a lifeboat and getting off the ship.”</p>
<p>Peter A. Thiel, a co-founder of PayPal and a major investor in Facebook, is a Singularity devotee who offers a “Singularity or bust” scenario.</p>
<p>“It may not happen, but there are a lot of technologies that need to be developed for a whole series of problems to be solved,” he says. “I think there is no good future in which it doesn’t happen.”</p>
<p><strong>‘Transcendent Man’</strong></p>
<p>In late August, Mr. Kurzweil will begin a cross-country multimedia road show to promote “<a title="The film’s Web site." href="http://transcendentman.com/">Transcendent Man</a>,” a documentary about his life and beliefs. Another of his projects, “<a title="The film’s Web site." href="http://www.singularity.com/themovie/index.php">The Singularity Is Near</a>: A True Story About the Future,” has also started to make its way around the film festival circuit.</p>
<p>Throughout “Transcendent Man,” Mr. Kurzweil is presented almost as a mystic, sitting in a chair with a shimmering, circular light floating around his head as he explains his philosophy’s basic tenets. During one scene at a beach, he is asked what he’s thinking as he stares out at a beautiful sunset with waves rolling in and wind tussling his hair.</p>
<p>“Well, I was thinking about how much computation is represented by the ocean,” he replies. “I mean, it’s all these water molecules interacting with each other. That’s computation.”</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil is the writer, producer and co-director of “The Singularity Is Near,” the tale of Ramona, a virtual being he builds that gradually becomes more human, battles hordes of microscopic robots and taps the lawyer Alan M. Dershowitz for legal advice and the motivational guru Tony Robbins for guidance on personal interactions.</p>
<p>With his glasses, receding hairline and lecturer’s ease, Mr. Kurzweil, 62, seems more professor than thespian. His films are just another facet of the Kurzweil franchise, which includes best-selling books, lucrative speaking engagements, blockbuster inventions and a line of health supplements called <a title="The storefront." href="http://www.rayandterry.com/index.asp">Ray &amp; Terry’s</a> (developed with the physician Terry Grossman).</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil credits a low-fat, vegetable-rich diet and regular exercise for his trim frame, and says he conquered diabetes decades ago by changing what he ate and later reprogramming his body with supplements. He currently takes about 150 pills a day and has regular intravenous procedures. He is also co-writer of a pair of health books, “<a title="The book’s Web site." href="http://www.fantastic-voyage.net/">Fantastic Voyage</a>: Live Long Enough to Live Forever” and “<a title="The book’s Web site." href="http://www.rayandterry.com/transcend/">Transcend</a>: Nine Steps to Living Well Forever.”</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil routinely taps into early memories that explain his lifelong passion for inventing. “My parents gave me all these construction toys, and sometimes I would put things together, and they would do something cool,” he says. “I got the idea that you could change the world for the better with invention — that you could put things together in just the right way, and they would have transcendent effects.</p>
<p>“That was kind of the religion of my family: the power of human ideas.”</p>
<p>A child prodigy, he <a title="His game show appearance." href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4Neivqp2K4">stunned television audiences</a> in 1965, when he was 17, with a computer he had built that composed music. A couple of years later, in college, he developed a computer program that would seek the best college fit for high school students. A New York publishing house bought the company for $100,000, plus royalties.</p>
<p>“Most of us were going to school to get knowledge and a degree,” says Aaron Kleiner, who studied with Mr. Kurzweil at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and later became his business partner. “He saw school as a tool that let him do what he needed to do.”</p>
<p>Some of Mr. Kurzweil’s better-known inventions include the first print-scanning systems that converted text to speech and allowed the blind to read standard texts, as well as sophisticated electronic keyboards and voice-recognition software. He has made millions selling his inventions, and his companies continue developing other products, like software for securities traders and e-readers for digital publications.</p>
<p>He began his march toward the Singularity around 1980, when he started plotting things like the speed of chips and memory capacity inside computers and realized that some elements of information technology improved at predictable — and exponential — rates.</p>
<p>“With 30 linear steps, you get to 30,” he often says in speeches. “With 30 steps exponentially, you get to one billion. The price-performance of computers has improved one billion times since I was a student. In 25 years, a computer as powerful as today’s smartphones will be the size of a blood cell.”</p>
<p>His fascination with exponential trends eventually led him to construct an elaborate philosophy, illustrated in charts, that provided an analytical backbone for the Singularity and other ideas that had been floating around science-fiction circles for decades.</p>
<p>As far back as the 1950s, John von Neumann, the mathematician, is said to have talked about a “singularity” — an event in which the always-accelerating pace of technology would alter the course of human affairs. And, in 1993, Vernor Vinge, a science fiction writer, computer scientist and math professor, wrote a research paper called “<a title="The paper." href="http://mindstalk.net/vinge/vinge-sing.html">The Coming Technological Singularity</a>: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era.”</p>
<p>“Within 30 years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence,” Mr. Vinge wrote. “Shortly after, the human era will be ended.”</p>
<p>In “The Singularity Is Near,” Mr. Kurzweil posits that technological progress in this century will be 1,000 times greater than that of the last century. He writes about humans trumping biology by filling their bodies with nanoscale creatures that can repair cells and by allowing their minds to tap into super-intelligent computers.</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil writes: “Once nonbiological intelligence gets a foothold in the human brain (this has already started with computerized neural implants), the machine intelligence in our brains will grow exponentially (as it has been doing all along), at least doubling in power each year.</p>
<p>“Ultimately, the entire universe will become saturated with our intelligence,” he continues. “This is the destiny of the universe.”</p>
<p>The underlying premise of the Singularity responds to people’s insecurity about the speed of social and technological change in the computer era. Mr. Kurzweil posits that the computer and the Internet have changed society much faster than electricity, phones or television, and that the next great leap will occur when industries like medicine and energy start moving at the same exponential pace as I.T.</p>
<p>He believes that this latter stage will occur when we learn to manipulate DNA more effectively and arrange atoms and have readily available computers that surpass the human brain.</p>
<p>In 1970, well before the era of nanobot doctors, Mr. Kurzweil’s father, Fredric, died of a heart attack at his home in Queens. Fredric was 58, and Ray was 22. Since then, Mr. Kurzweil has filled a storage space with his father’s effects — photographs, letters, bills and newspaper clippings. In a world where computers and humans merge, Mr. Kurzweil expects that these documents can be combined with memories harvested from his own brain, and then possibly with Fredric’s DNA, to effect a partial resurrection of his father.</p>
<p>By the 2030s, most people will be able to achieve mental immortality by similarly backing up their brains, Mr. Kurzweil predicts, as the Singularity starts to come into full flower.</p>
<p>Despite such optimism, some Singularitarians aren’t all that fond of Mr. Kurzweil.</p>
<p>“I think he’s a genius and has certainly brought a lot of these ideas into the public discourse,” says James J. Hughes, the executive director of the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies, a nonprofit that studies the implications of advancing technology. “But there are plenty of people that say he has hijacked the Singularity term.”</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil says that he is simply trying to put analytical clothing on the concept so that people can think more clearly about the future. And regardless of any debate about his intentions, if you’re encountering the Singularity in the business world and elsewhere today, it’s most likely his take.</p>
<p><strong>Bursts of Innovation</strong></p>
<p>Peter H. Diamandis, 49, is a small man with a wide, bright smile and a thick mound of dark hair. He routinely holds meetings by cellphone and can usually be found typing away on his laptop. He went to medical school to make his mother happy but has always dreamed of heading to outer space.</p>
<p>He is also a firm believer in the Singularity and is a technocelebrity in his own right, primarily through his role in commercializing space travel. At a recent Singularity University lunch, he hopped up to make a speech peppered with passion and conviction.</p>
<p>“My target is to live 700 years,” he declared.</p>
<p>The students chuckled.</p>
<p>“I say that seriously,” he retorted.</p>
<p>The NASA site, the <a title="NASA’s page for the center." href="http://www.nasa.gov/centers/ames/home/index.html">Ames Research Center</a>, houses an odd collection of unusual buildings, including a giant wind tunnel, a huge supercomputing center and a flight simulator facility with equipment capable throwing people 60 feet into the air.</p>
<p>Today, the government operates NASA Ames as a bustling, public-sector-meets-private-sector technology bazaar. Start-ups, universities and corporations have set up shop here, and Google plans to build a new campus here over the next few years that will include housing for workers.</p>
<p>A nondescript structure, Building 20, is the Singularity University headquarters, and most students stay in nearby apartments on the NASA land. Mr. Kurzweil set up the school with Mr. Diamandis, who, as chief executive of the <a title="Its Web site." href="http://www.xprize.org/">X Prize Foundation</a>, doled out $10 million in 2004 to a team that sent a private spacecraft 100 kilometers above the earth. Google has offered $30 million in rewards for an X Prize project intended to inspire a private team to send a robot to the moon. And a $10 million prize will go to the first team that can sequence 100 human genomes in 10 days at a cost of $10,000 or less each — which, in theory, would turn an expensive, complex lab exercise into an ordinary affair.</p>
<p>Mr. Diamandis champions the idea that large prizes inspire rapid bursts of innovation and may pave a path to that 700-year lifetime.</p>
<p>“I don’t think it’s a matter of if,” he says. “I think it’s a matter of how. You and I have a decent shot, and for kids being born today, I think it will be a matter of choice.”</p>
<p>For the most part, Mr. Kurzweil serves as a figurehead of Singularity University, while Mr. Diamandis steers the institution. He pitches the graduate student program as a way to train young, inspired people to think exponentially and solve the world’s biggest problems — to develop projects that will “change the lives of one billion people,” as the in-house mantra goes.</p>
<p>Mr. Diamandis hopes that the university can create an unrivaled network of graduates and bold thinkers — a Harvard Business School for the future — who can put its ideas into action. Along with that goal, he’s considering creating a venture capital fund to help turn the university’s big ideas into big businesses. As some of their favored student creations, school leaders point to a rapid disaster alert-and-response system and a venture that lets individuals rent their cars to other people via cellphone.</p>
<p><a title="A profile of Mr. Fidler." href="http://singularityu.org/programs/graduate-studies-program/gsp-09/students/devin-fidler/">Devin Fidler</a>, a former student, is in the midst of securing funding for a company that will build a portable machine that squirts out a cement-like goop that allows builders to erect an entire house, layer by layer. Such technology could almost eliminate labor costs and bring better housing to low-income areas.</p>
<p>Mr. Diamandis has certainly built a selective institution. More than 1,600 people applied for just 40 spots in the inaugural graduate program held last year. A second, 10-week graduate program will kick off this month with 80 students, culled from 1,200 applicants.</p>
<p>One incoming student, <a title="A profile of Mr. Dalrymple." href="http://esp.mit.edu/learn/teachers/davidad/bio.html">David Dalrymple</a>, is an 18-year-old working on his doctorate from M.I.T.. He says he plans to start a research institute someday to explore artificial intelligence, medicine, space systems and energy. (He met Mr. Kurzweil at a White House dinner, and at the age of 8 accepted the offer to have Mr. Kurzweil serve as his mentor.)</p>
<p>During the spring executive program, about 30 people — almost all of them men — showed up for the course, which is something of a mental endurance test. Days begin at dawn with group exercise sessions. Coursework runs until about 9 p.m.; then philosophizing over wine and popcorn goes until midnight or later. A former Google chef prepares special meals — all of which are billed as “life extending” — for the executives.</p>
<p>The meat of the executive program is lectures, company tours and group thought exercises.</p>
<p>Day 4 includes test drives of Tesla Motors electric sports cars and a group genetic test, thanks to a company called <a title="Its site." href="http://www.decodeme.com/">deCODEme</a>. By Day 6, people are annoyed by the BrinBot, which is interrupting lectures with its whirs and sputters. Someone tapes a pair of paper ears on it to try to humanize it. One executive sullenly declines to participate in another robot design exercise because no one in his group will consider making a sexbot.</p>
<p>However much the Singularity informs the environment here, a majority of the executives attending the spring course expressed less interest in living forever and more in figuring out their next business venture or where they wanted to invest.</p>
<p>Robin Tedder, a Scottish baron who lives in Australia and divides his time among managing a personal fortune, racing a yacht and running a vineyard, says he read about Singularity University in an investor newsletter and checked out the Web site.</p>
<p>“What really convinced me to pay the 15 grand was that I didn’t think it was some kind of hoax,” Mr. Tedder said in an interview after he completed the executive program. “I looked at the people involved and thought it was the real deal. In retrospect, I think it’s a very good value.”</p>
<p>Like a number of other participants, Mr. Tedder is contemplating business ventures with his classmates and points to high-octane networking as the school’s major benefit.</p>
<p>Attendees at the spring session came from all over the globe and included John Mauldin, a best-selling author who writes an investment newsletter; Stephen Long, a research director at the Defense Department; Fernando A. de la Viesca, C.E.O. of the Argentinean investment firm TPCG Financial; Eitan Eliram, the new-media director for the prime minister’s office in Israel; and Guy Fraker, the director of trends and foresight at State Farm Insurance.</p>
<p>“We end up cleaning up the mess of unintended consequences,” says Mr. Fraker of his company’s work. He says it makes sense for him to gauge technological trends in case humans can one day gain new tools for averting catastrophes. For example, he’s confident that in the future people will have the ability to steer hurricanes away from populated areas.</p>
<p>Executives in the spring program also heard that some young people had started leaving college to set up their own synthetic biology labs on the cheap. Such people resemble computer tinkerers from a generation earlier, attendees note, except now they’re fiddling with the genetic code of organisms rather than software.</p>
<p>“Biology is moving outside of the traditional education sphere,” says Andrew Hessel, a former research operations manager at Amgen, during a lecture here. “The students are teaching their professors. This is happening faster than the computer evolved. These students don’t have newsletters. They have Web sites.”</p>
<p><a title="The school’s profile of him." href="http://www.jsc.nasa.gov/Bios/htmlbios/barry.html">Daniel T. Barry</a>, a Singularity University professor, gives a lecture about the falling cost of robotics technology and how these types of systems are close to entering the home. Dr. Barry, a former astronaut and “Survivor” contestant with an M.D. and a Ph. D., has put his ideas into action. He has a robot at home that can take a pizza from the delivery person, pay for it and carry it into the kitchen.</p>
<p>“You have the robot say, ‘Take the 20 and leave the pizza on top of me,’ ” Dr. Barry says. “I get the pizza about a third of the time.”</p>
<p>Other lecturers talk about a coming onslaught of biomedical advances as thousands of people have their genomes decoded. Jason Bobe, who works on <a title="The project’s Web site." href="http://thepersonalgenome.com/">the Personal Genome Project</a>, an effort backed by the Harvard Medical School to establish a huge database of genetic information, points to forecasts that a million people will have their genomes decoded by 2014.</p>
<p>“The machines for doing this will be in your kitchen next to the toaster,” Mr. Bobe says.</p>
<p>Mr. Hessel describes an even more dramatic future in which people create hybrid pets based on the body parts of different animals and tweak the genetic makeup of plants so they resemble things like chairs and tables, allowing us to grow fields of everyday objects for home and work. Mr. Hessel, like Mr. Kurzweil, thinks that people will use genetic engineering techniques to grow meat in factories rather than harvesting it from dead animals.</p>
<p>“I know in 10 years it will be a junior-high project to build a bacteria,” says Mr. Hessel. “This is what happens when we get control over the code of life. We are just on the cusp of that.”</p>
<p>Christopher deCharms, another Singularity University speaker, runs <a title="The company’s Web site." href="http://www.omneuron.com/">Omneuron</a>, a start-up in Menlo Park, Calif., that <a title="A past Times article about the company." href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/26/business/yourmoney/26stream.html">pushes the limits</a> of brain imaging technology. He’s trying to pull information out of the brain via sensing systems, so that there can be some quantification of people’s levels of depression and pain.</p>
<p>“We are at the forefront today of being able to read out real information from the human brain of single individuals,” he tells the executives.</p>
<p><strong>Preparing to Evolve</strong></p>
<p>Richard A. Clarke, former head of counterterrorism at the National Security Council, has followed Mr. Kurzweil’s work and written a science-fiction thriller, “<a title="The book on Google Books." href="http://books.google.com/books?id=fZtd6lG0H3sC&amp;lpg=PP1&amp;ots=etjPBbxqGf&amp;dq=RICHARD%20A.%20CLARKE%20breakpoint&amp;pg=PP1#v=onepage&amp;q&amp;f=false">Breakpoint</a>,” in which a group of terrorists try to halt the advance of technology. He sees major conflicts coming as the government and citizens try to wrap their heads around technology that’s just beginning to appear.</p>
<p>“There are enormous social and political issues that will arise,” Mr. Clarke says. “There are vast groups of people in society who believe the earth is 5,000 years old. If they want to slow down progress and prevent the world from changing around them and they engaged in political action or violence, then there will have to be some sort of decision point.”</p>
<p>Mr. Clarke says the government has a contingency plan for just about everything — including an attack by Canada — but has yet to think through the implications of techno-philosophies like the Singularity. (If it’s any consolation, Mr. Long of the Defense Department asked a flood of questions while attending Singularity University.)</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil himself acknowledges the possibility of grim outcomes from rapidly advancing technology but prefers to think positively. “Technological evolution is a continuation of biological evolution,” he says. “That is very much a natural process.”</p>
<p>To prepare for any rocky transitions from our benighted present to the techno-utopia of 2030 or so, a number of people tied to the Singularity movement have begun to build what they call “an education and protection framework.”</p>
<p>Among them is Keith Kleiner, who joined Google in its early days and walked away as a wealthy man in 2005. During a period of personal reflection after his departure, he read “The Singularity Is Near.” He admires Mr. Kurzweil’s vision.</p>
<p>“What he taught me was ‘Wake up, man,’ ” Mr. Kleiner says. “Yeah, computers will get faster so you can do more things and store more data, but it’s bigger than that. It starts to permeate every industry.”</p>
<p>Mr. Kleiner, 32, founded a Web site, <a href="http://singularityhub.com/" target="_">SingularityHub.com</a>, with <a title="The site’s staff." href="http://singularityhub.com/about/">a writing staff</a> that reports on radical advances in technology. He has also given $100,000 to Singularity University.</p>
<p>Sonia Arrison, <a title="The school’s profile of her." href="http://singularityu.org/people/board-of-trustees/sonia-arrison/">a founder</a> of Singularity University and the wife of one of Google’s first employees, spends her days writing a book about longevity, tentatively titled “100 Plus.” It outlines changes that people can expect as life expectancies increase, like 20-year marriages with sunset clauses.</p>
<p>She says the book and the university are her attempts to ready people for the inevitable.</p>
<p>“One day we will wake up and say, ‘Wow, we can regenerate a new liver,’ ” Ms. Arrison says. “It will happen so fast, and the role of Singularity University is to prepare people in advance.”</p>
<p>Despite all of the zeal behind the movement, there are those who look askance at its promises and prospects.</p>
<p>Jonathan Huebner, for example, is often held up as Mr. Kurzweil’s foil. A physicist who works at the Naval Air Warfare Center as a weapons designer, he, like Mr. Kurzweil, has compiled his own cathedral of graphs and lists of important inventions. <a title="An article on his “new dark age.“" href="http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn7616">He is unimpressed</a> with the state of progress and, in 2005, published in a scientific journal a paper called “<a title="The paper (PDF)." href="http://accelerating.org/articles/InnovationHuebnerTFSC2005.pdf">A Possible Declining Trend for Worldwide Innovation</a>.”</p>
<p>Measuring the number of innovations divided by the size of the worldwide population, Dr. Huebner contends that the rate of innovation peaked in 1873. Or, based on the number of patents in the United States weighed against the population, he found a peak around 1916. (Both Dr. Huebner and Mr. Kurzweil are occasionally teased about their faith in graphs.)</p>
<p>“The amount of advance in this century will not compare well at all to the last century,” Dr. Huebner says, before criticizing tenets of the Singularity. “I don’t believe that something like artificial intelligence as they describe it will ever appear.”</p>
<p>William S. Bainbridge, who has spent the last two decades evaluating grant proposals for the National Science Foundation, also sides with the skeptics.</p>
<p>“We are not seeing exponential results from the exponential gains in computing power,” he says. “I think we are at a time where progress will be increasingly difficult in many fields.</p>
<p>“We should not base ideas of the world on simplistic extrapolations of what has happened in the past,” he adds.</p>
<p><strong>‘Deus ex Machina’</strong></p>
<p>Last month, a biotech concern, Synthetic Genomics, <a title="A past Times article on the synthetic cell." href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/21/science/21cell.html">announced</a> that it had created a bacterial genome from scratch, kicking off a firestorm of discussion about the development of artificial life. J. Craig Venter, a pioneer in the human genome trade and head of Synthetic Genomics, hailed his company’s work as “the first self-replicating species we’ve had on the planet whose parent is a computer.”</p>
<p>Steve Jurvetson, a director of Synthetic Genomics, is part of a group of very rich, very bright Singularity observers who end up somewhere in the middle on the philosophy’s merits — optimistic about the growing powers of technology but pessimistic about humankind’s ability to reach a point where those forces can actually be harnessed.</p>
<p>Mr. Jurvetson, a venture capitalist and managing director of the firm Draper Fisher Jurvetson, says the advances of companies like Synthetic Genomics give him confidence that we will witness great progress in areas like biofuels and vaccines. Still, he fears that such technology could also be used maliciously — and he has a pantry filled with products like Spam and honey in case his family has to hunker down during a viral outbreak or attack.</p>
<p>“Thank God we have a swimming pool,” he says, noting that it gives him a large store of potentially potable water.</p>
<p>Mr. Orlowksi, the journalist, sees the Singularity as a grand, tech-nerd dream in which engineers, inventors and innovators of every stripe create the greatest of all reset buttons. He says the techies “seem to want a deus ex machina to make everything right again.”</p>
<p>They certainly don’t want any outside interference, and are utterly confident that they will realize the Singularity on their own terms and with their own wits — all of which fits with Silicon Valley’s strong libertarian traditions. Google and Microsoft employees trailed only members of the military as the largest individual contributors to Ron Paul’s 2008 presidential campaign.</p>
<p>The Valley’s wizards also prefer to avoid any confrontation with Washington.</p>
<p>“Dealing with politics means having to compromise and convince people of things and form alliances with people who don’t always agree with you,” Mr. Orlowski says. “They’re not wired for that.”</p>
<p><strong>Increasing Acceptance</strong></p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil is currently consulting for the Army on technology initiatives, and says he routinely talks with government and business leaders. Bill Gates, the Microsoft co-founder, appears in Mr. Kurzweil’s books and often on the back flaps with celebratory quotations.</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil and Mr. Page of Google created a renewable-energy plan for the National Academy of Engineering, advising that solar power will one day soon meet all of the world’s energy needs.</p>
<p>Mr. Kurzweil’s 31-year-old son, Ethan, says his father has always been ahead of the curve. The family had the first flat-screen television and car phone on the block, as well as a phone that could fax photos.</p>
<p>“We also had this thing where you put on a hat that had sensors and it would create music to match your brain waves and help you meditate,” Ethan says. “People would come over and play with it.”</p>
<p>Ethan previously worked for Linden Lab, the company behind the virtual world Second Life. These days he’s a venture capitalist at Bessemer Venture Partners. A section of the bookshelves in his office has been reserved for multiple copies of his father’s works.</p>
<p>“A lot of what he has predicted has happened, and it’s interesting to see what he’s been saying become more mainstream,” says Ethan, who looks very much like a younger version of his father. “He has a certain world view that he feels strongly about that he thinks is absolutely coming to pass. The data so far suggests it is. He’s incredibly thorough with his research, and I have confidence his critics haven’t thought things through on the same level.”</p>
<p>Indeed, Ethan says, his father is almost, well, accepted.</p>
<p>“He is seen as less weird now,” he says. “Much less weird.”</p>
<p> </p></div>
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<h6>A version of this article appeared in print on June 13, 2010, on page BU1 of the New York edition.</h6>
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		<title>First human &#8216;infected with computer virus&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/05/27/first-human-infected-with-computer-virus/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/05/27/first-human-infected-with-computer-virus/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 May 2010 14:25:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[[BBC] A British scientist says he is the first man in the world to become infected with a computer virus.
Dr Mark Gasson from the University of Reading contaminated a computer chip which was then inserted into his hand. The device, which enables him to pass through security doors and activate his mobile phone, is a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/10158517.stm">BBC</a>] A British scientist says he is the first man in the world to become infected with a computer virus.</p>
<p>Dr Mark Gasson from the University of Reading contaminated a computer chip which was then inserted into his hand. The device, which enables him to pass through security doors and activate his mobile phone, is a sophisticated version of ID chips used to tag pets.</p>
<p>In trials, Dr Gasson showed that the chip was able to pass on the computer virus to external control systems.  If other implanted chips had then connected to the system they too would have been corrupted, he said.</p>
<p><strong>Medical alert</strong></p>
<p>Dr Gasson admits that the test is a proof of principle but he thinks it has important implications for a future where medical devices such as pacemakers and cochlear implants become more sophisticated, and risk being contaminated by other human implants. </p>
<p>&#8220;With the benefits of this type of technology come risks. <span id="more-1785"></span>We may improve ourselves in some way but much like the improvements with other technologies, mobile phones for example, they become vulnerable to risks, such as security problems and computer viruses.&#8221;</p>
<p>However, Dr Gasson predicts that wider use will be made of implanted technology.</p>
<p>&#8220;This type of technology has been commercialised in the United States as a type of medical alert bracelet, so that if you&#8217;re found unconscious you can be scanned and your medical history brought up.&#8221;</p>
<p>Professor Rafael Capurro of the Steinbeis-Transfer-Institute of Information Ethics in Germany told BBC News that the research was &#8220;interesting&#8221;.</p>
<p>&#8220;If someone can get online access to your implant, it could be serious,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p><strong>Cosmetic surgery</strong></p>
<p>Professor Capurro contributed to a 2005 ethical study for the European Commission that looked at the development of digital implants and possible abuse of them. </p>
<p>&#8220;From an ethical point of view, the surveillance of implants can be both positive and negative,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;Surveillance can be part of medical care, but if someone wants to do harm to you, it could be a problem.&#8221;</p>
<p>In addition, he said, that there should be caution if implants with surveillance capabilities started to be used outside of a medical setting.</p>
<p>However, Dr Gasson believes that there will be a demand for these non-essential applications, much as people pay for cosmetic surgery.</p>
<p>&#8220;If we can find a way of enhancing someone&#8217;s memory or their IQ then there&#8217;s a real possibility that people will choose to have this kind of invasive procedure.&#8221;</p>
<p>Dr Gasson works at the University of Reading&#8217;s School of Systems Engineering and will present the results of his research at the International Symposium for Technology and Society in Australia next month. Professor Capurro will also talk at the event.</p>
<p>By Rory Cellan-Jones Technology correspondent, BBC News Page last updated at 7:20 GMT, Wednesday, 26 May 2010 8:20 UK <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/10158517.stm">http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/10158517.stm</a></p>
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		<title>Biotechs find progress in vaccine market</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/02/04/biotechs-find-progress-in-vaccine-market/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2010 10:22:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[[MHT] When it comes to vaccines, everyone now wants to get in on the action. That’s according to Paul Bogorad, a senior manager at pharmaceutical and biotechnology consultancy Putnam Associates in Burlington. Bogorad and other analysts say that the frenzy over H1N1 has heightened the public’s awareness of the difficulty of making vaccines and has [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: left;"><img class="size-full wp-image-1619    alignleft" title="hpvvaccine" src="http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/hpvvaccine.jpg" alt="hpvvaccine" width="160" height="185" />[<a href="http://www.masshightech.com/stories/2010/02/01/weekly10-Biotechs-find-progress-in-vaccine-market.html">MHT</a>] When it comes to vaccines, everyone now wants to get in on the action. That’s according to Paul Bogorad, a senior manager at pharmaceutical and biotechnology consultancy Putnam Associates in Burlington. Bogorad and other analysts say that the frenzy over H1N1 has heightened the public’s awareness of the difficulty of making vaccines and has intensified companies’ hunger to do it better.</p>
<p>But it wasn’t always so. In the 1970s and ’80s, companies raced to get out of the vaccine business because of the high manufacturing costs, the high chance of failure, and the threat of lawsuits if patients suffered adverse side effects. But then the federal government passed the Childhood Vaccine Injury Act in 1986, which created a pool of money for patients who experienced adverse effects and shielded companies from lawsuits. Advances in technology have driven manufacturing costs down. “And companies have seen that if a vaccine is on a government program, one doesn’t have to spend money to promote it,” Bogorad said.<span id="more-1618"></span></p>
<p>The market is dominated by a handful of global players, including U.K.-based GlaxoSmithKline, France’s Sanofi Pasteur, Wyeth, which has now merged with New York-based Pfizer Inc., Switzerland’s Novartis AG and Merck and Co. Inc. of New Jersey. This makes it difficult for smaller players to break in.</p>
<p>But this cadre of vaccine giants relies on an ecosystem of smaller companies to fill its pipeline with preventive therapies. And that pipeline could grow now that the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation has pledged $10 billion to fund vaccine research.</p>
<p>Bogorad said New England provides a ripe landscape for mergers and acquisitions. Case in point is Acambis. The Cambridge company, which has potential vaccines targeting herpes, influenza, dengue fever and West Nile virus, was bought last year by Sanofi Pasteur for $548 million.</p>
<p>One local vaccine company that has been growing independently is Xcellerex Inc. The Marlborough company was founded in 2004, has 120 employees and is cash-flow positive. Xcellerex provides outsourced manufacturing services and equipment, using a disposable system that eliminates the need for steam sterilization of bioreactors used to make vaccines and other biologics. CEO Joe Zakrzewski said the method cuts down on the chances for contamination of vaccines or other products.</p>
<p>Zakrzewski claims that the process can speed up getting a product to market and that clinical trials using the technology can cost one fourth that of clinical trials using traditional biologics manufacturing methods. Xcellerex’s clients include Cambridge-based Acceleron Pharma Inc., whose lead product is a biotherapeutic designed to increase red blood cell and bone formation and is in Phase 2 clinical trials.</p>
<p>Xcellerex also develops its own therapeutics and has launched a Phase 1 clinical trial for a potential vaccine targeting yellow fever. Bogorad and other analysts say that the travel vaccine market is a small segment of the market, but Zakzrewski said there is still money to be made. “Right now, it’s a $100 million market. But 90 percent of the people who need the yellow-fever vaccine don’t get it, because the risks of the current vaccine are too high. So we love it when people say the market is small. We think it could be $1 billion.”</p>
<p>Xcellerex officials say that their vaccine candidate is fundamentally different from current vaccines because it uses a dead virus rather than a live one. Xcellerex has partnered with other companies on manufacturing four or five vaccines in the past. In October, the company announced it would partner with Rockville, Md.-based Novavax to ramp up large-scale manufacturing for its H1N1 vaccine.</p>
<p>The perils of this high-stakes business can be seen across New England. Protein Sciences Corp., in Meridien, Conn., received a blow when the U.S. Food and Drug Administration rejected its potential flu vaccine this fall, because the agency wanted more safety data. Analysts and public health officials had been watching the progress of the potential vaccine because it would represent a novel breakthrough. While current vaccines for influenza are made from fertilized chicken eggs, which is slow and expensive, the Protein Sciences target aims to produce flu cells in caterpillars.</p>
<p>Antigenics Inc., in Lexington, also faced a regulatory setback this fall when European authorities rejected its potential cancer vaccine, called Oncophage. Cancer vaccines have been an elusive target so far, but officials in area companies say that is going to change.</p>
<p>“We (in the industry) are starting to learn from our mistakes. It’s not a matter of if, but when,” said Eric Von Hofe, CEO of Antigen Express Inc. The Worcester-based vaccine developer is working on targets using synthetic peptides, which are protein fragments, that Von Hofe says can be manufactured more quickly than the traditional chicken-egg method. Von Hofe is reporting positive interim results for a Phase 2 vaccine study targeting breast cancer. But so far, no synthetic vaccines have been approved by the FDA. </p>
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		<title>Can Comparative-Effectiveness Research Be a Physician&#8217;s Best Friend?</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/01/11/can-comparative-effectiveness-research-be-a-physicians-best-friend/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jan 2010 20:38:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[[medscape] As healthcare reform legislation grinds its way through Congress, 2 articles published online January 6 in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) advocate for one of its touchiest provisions — comparative-effectiveness research (CER).
In theory, CER sounds like a calm, academic subject: evaluate different treatment options for a given illness — drug A vs [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/714897?sssdmh=dm1.579953&amp;src=nldne&amp;uac=105808FV">medscape</a>] As healthcare reform legislation grinds its way through Congress, 2 articles published online January 6 in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) advocate for one of its touchiest provisions — comparative-effectiveness research (CER).</p>
<p>In theory, CER sounds like a calm, academic subject: evaluate different treatment options for a given illness — drug A vs drug B, or drug A vs surgery — and determine which does a better job of reducing morbidity and mortality. You also can go a step further and compare these treatment options in terms of risks or cost-effectiveness: Does drug B outperform drug A by a 2% margin but cost 3 times as much? Experts say such research is in short supply, leading to poorer clinical outcomes and runaway costs.</p>
<p>However, talk of government-sponsored CER pushes hot buttons in medicine and American society alike, being called &#8220;rationing&#8221; and &#8220;government takeover of medicine.&#8221; For proof, consider what happened when the US Preventive Services Task Force announced last November that, based on the scientific evidence it weighed, it no longer recommends mammograms for women aged 40 through 49 years. The task force also recommended that women aged 50 years and older no longer receive annual mammograms but, instead, get them every other year. Public outcry and pushback from several medical societies and expert groups like the American Cancer Society swayed Senate Democrats to rewrite their pending healthcare reform legislation to guarantee mammogram coverage. <span id="more-1588"></span></p>
<p>If Congress enacts healthcare reform, more such medical recommendations could roil Americans. That&#8217;s because reform bills passed by the House and Senate (which have yet to be reconciled) call for the creation of a CER entity that would question the value of many trusted procedures and treatments. These provisions come on top of economic stimulus legislation passed in early 2009 that pumps $1.1 billion into CER and establishes a new federal bureaucracy to manage it. The government would not conduct CER itself by and large but would instead fund the work of academic investigators.</p>
<p>NEJM Authors Bolster Support for CER Individual physicians and medical societies approach CER with varying degrees of enthusiasm, cautious support, and downright fear and loathing. The 2 recent NEJM articles seek to bolster support for this controversial discipline. Two professors at Weill Cornell Medical College, New York City, write in an article titled &#8220;Health Care Reform and the Need for Comparative-Effectiveness Research&#8221; that CER is &#8220;physicians&#8217; first line of defense against blind cost containment.&#8221; Furthermore, it could spur drug and medical device manufacturers &#8220;to develop products that really matter.&#8221; &#8220;I think CER is the physician&#8217;s best friend,&#8221; coauthor Alvin Mushlin, MD, professor and chair of the Department of Public Health at Weill Cornell, told Medscape Medical News. Similarly, the other NEJM article, titled &#8220;Comparative Effectiveness and Health Care Spending — Implications for Reform,&#8221; warns that without a shift to best-bang-for-the-buck services identified by CER, cost-cutting alone could produce worse health outcomes. &#8220;If we can induce hospitals and health plans to improve efficiency and not just cut costs, then health costs in the United States will come down and outcomes will improve,&#8221; write coauthors Milton Weinstein, PhD, a professor of health policy and management at the Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, and Jonathan Skinner, PhD, a professor of economics at Dartmouth Medical School, Hanover, New Hampshire. Proposed Government-Sponsored CER Would Be Transparent The American Medical Association (AMA) and several other medical societies believe that the federal government can play a valuable role in CER. After all, the cost of this research deters drug and device manufacturers from studying how their products fare in head-to-head competition with others; plus, they may be afraid to tell the world that their product is second-best, according to AMA President J. James Rohack, MD. The government would not operate under these constraints. Furthermore, government-sponsored CER would be a public, transparent enterprise. In contrast, said Dr. Rohack, private payers that conduct CER to determine what they&#8217;ll cover don&#8217;t always reveal how they&#8217;ve reached their decisions — the proverbial, and hated, black box. &#8220;You don&#8217;t know if they&#8217;re just trying to maximize profits or if science backs up their coverage determination,&#8221; Dr. Rohack told Medscape Medical News. Accordingly, the AMA and its medical allies have mostly supported provisions in healthcare reform legislation that make the federal government a player in CER. The House bill establishes a Center for Comparative Effectiveness Research within the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality in the US Department of Health and Human Services. Findings from this center could not be construed as mandates regarding treatment, coverage, or payment, but some experts interpret the legislation as giving the center the ability to make recommendations. In contrast, the Senate bill would create a nonprofit, independent Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute that is confined to only publishing its findings and is explicitly prohibited from issuing even recommendations. The AMA prefers the Senate approach because it&#8217;s more emphatic about denying a CER body any policy-making clout. The association also prefers an independent body. In contrast, the CER center in the House bill would be a fiefdom within Department of Health and Human Services, which also operates the Medicare and Medicaid programs. There&#8217;s fear in some quarters that a CER group embedded in the federal bureaucracy would be vulnerable to political bullying, with scientific integrity sacrificed on the altar of budget-cutting. However, an independent body also comes with risks, said Neil Kirschner, PhD, a senior associate in regulatory and insurer affairs for the American College of Physicians (ACP), a strong advocate of government-sponsored CER. &#8220;The public-private group that the Senate wants could be unduly influenced by the private sector,&#8221; Dr. Kirschner told Medscape Medical News. &#8220;The ACP hasn&#8217;t taken a position on which approach is right.&#8221; Dr. Kirschner said the ACP would like government-sponsored CER to freely factor in cost-effectiveness data. &#8220;The Senate bill makes this more difficult,&#8221; he said. &#8220;The House bill is more silent on the use of cost.&#8221; Cost-effectiveness, he added, doesn&#8217;t necessarily mean adopting the least-expensive treatment. &#8220;Sometimes the most expensive treatment may be a better value by helping a person live much longer,&#8221; he said. Give Physicians Scientific Findings, Not Recommendations Both the ACP and the AMA agree that a government-sponsored CER body should forgo recommendations, much less mandates, on how physicians should practice medicine. For one thing, private insurers and government programs like Medicare are tempted to turn such recommendations into binding policies that may arbitrarily deny patients coverage for needed care, explained the AMA&#8217;s Dr. Rohack. &#8220;Look at vaccines,&#8221; Dr. Rohack told Medscape Medical News. &#8220;The federal Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommends what vaccines should be administered, and insurers key off that to determine what they&#8217;ll pay for.&#8221; The fracas over mammograms last year occurred at the intersection of recommendation and insurance coverage, noted health-policy analyst Dennis Smith from the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank. &#8220;The essential benefit package in the [original] Senate reform bill was supposed to include preventive services recommended by the US Preventive Services Task Force. So if you didn&#8217;t meet the [task force] criteria, you wouldn&#8217;t get your mammogram paid for.&#8221; Dr. Rohack also pointed to the problem of inflexible application of CER. A study that identifies the best way to treat a particular medical condition may have excluded patients older than 65 years, for example. A payer may then decide to cover that treatment, but not for anyone older than 65 years, he said. It&#8217;s sufficient, said Dr. Rohack, to give CER findings to physicians and patients and let them make the final decision on medical care. &#8220;Physicians by training try to use evidence-based science to do what&#8217;s best for patients,&#8221; he said. &#8220;If there is a gray zone, they&#8217;ll rely on history, experience, and local practice styles. And there are gray zones.&#8221; Dr. Rushlin at Weill Cornell Medical College agrees with Dr. Rohack that merely publishing CER findings without adding recommendations will benefit healthcare. &#8220;We need to get started incorporating information from CER into the public debate on healthcare. It can be a very positive step in the right direction,&#8221; he said. &#8220;When you put the evidence on the table, it illuminates the discussion. It doesn&#8217;t eliminate the discussion. That&#8217;s healthy.&#8221; Rationing With a Light Touch? Despite all the restrictions in the House and Senate healthcare reform bills, government-sponsored CER alarms some physicians, such as the American Association of Physicians and Surgeons. An opponent of reform legislation, the society states on its Web site that CER &#8220;will provide the rationale for rationing&#8221; and suggests that this discipline is a reincarnation of managed care. Sen. Thomas Coburn, MD (R-OK), wrote in the Wall Street Journal last month that CER is one reason why &#8220;seniors will die sooner&#8221; if Congress passes the Senate&#8217;s version of healthcare reform. In other countries, such as the United Kingdom, Dr. Coburn wrote, CER panels amount to rationing panels. Dr. Weinstein and Dr. Skinner acknowledge in their article that Americans have less of a stomach for explicit, top-down rationing of healthcare resources than other countries in which CER has a longer history. The authors point out, however, that Americans appear more amenable to rationing when it&#8217;s based on free-market price decisions, such as whether to pay a higher copayment for more expensive medication. With that tendency in mind, Dr. Weinstein and Dr. Skinner suggest several ways to coax patients and providers to veer toward cost-effective care without getting heavy-handed about it. Physicians and hospitals could receive higher compensation when they perform more cost-effective services, and lower compensation when they choose more wasteful services. Likewise, consumers purchasing insurance could pay a higher premium for a plan that would give them immediate access to higher-cost medications, for example, without first having to try less expensive ones — read generics — to see whether they work. N Engl J Med. Published online January 6, 2010.</p>
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		<title>Womb for rent (China)</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/01/03/womb-for-rent-china/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2010/01/03/womb-for-rent-china/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Jan 2010 04:54:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Beginning of Life Matters and Reproductive Technologies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Medical Tourism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk Exposure & Bioethics]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[World News - Home]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1584</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[People's Daily] When Xiao Luo arrived in south China&#8217;s Guangzhou city in May last year, the 30-year-old was struggling to raise her 6-year-old son alone in Hunan Province. Her husband never showed up soon after a business failure. &#8220;I was devastated that my husband abandoned us just like that, leaving dunners knocking on the door [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90776/90882/6857711.html">People's Daily</a>] When Xiao Luo arrived in south China&#8217;s Guangzhou city in May last year, the 30-year-old was struggling to raise her 6-year-old son alone in Hunan Province. Her husband never showed up soon after a business failure. &#8220;I was devastated that my husband abandoned us just like that, leaving dunners knocking on the door every day,&#8221; Luo recalls. Desperate for cash, she searched for ways out and a website for a surrogacy agency popped up. &#8220;I thought that it could help solve my financial problems.&#8221; But she was wary that it might be a scam. After several conversations with the agency&#8217;s manager on the phone, she decided to go to Guangzhou, where the agency is based. When she arrived, however, she decided that bearing someone else&#8217;s baby was a step too far. Luo, who grew up in a small town in central China&#8217;s Hunan Province and finished nine-year schooling only, had very conventional ideas about parenthood and child-bearing. But the agency persuaded her to meet a couple in their 40s who lost their child in an accident.</p>
<p>The woman could not have another child because of her physical condition and age, says Luo. &#8220;She wept in front of me and I was really moved. They had my sympathy and I felt that I can do something for them.&#8221; In January, Luo gave birth to a baby girl. &#8220;It was not as painful as with my first delivery,&#8221; Luo recalls. &#8220;I was relieved that she was healthy and I knew all along that it was the couple&#8217;s baby, not mine, to detach myself,&#8221; she says.</p>
<p>Luo declines to reveal how much she got paid for the labor, but admitted it was enough for her to pay off her husband&#8217;s debt. Lu Jinfeng, founder of an online surrogacy agency, says surrogate mothers act out of compassion, but also according to their own financial woes. &#8220;In most cases, they are facing economic hardships either because of medical bills from family members or business or marriage failures, such as divorced women who cannot afford raising kids on their own,&#8221; says Lu. More clients are looking for surrogate mothers since Lu launched his online agency in 2004. They are mostly couples from big modern cities such as Guangzhou, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen or from overseas, given the wives are unable to bear children but can still produce healthy eggs, says Lu. Some others come up to Lu for hope in sorrow: their children died in accidents and they are too old to bear new babies. The infertility rate among Chinese couples is up to 15 percent, and women shoulder the causes in nearly half cases. But less than one third of the infertile women can be cured with medical treatment. &#8220;These couples suffer from being childless. <span id="more-1584"></span></p>
<p>A family without a child is incomplete in Chinese culture,&#8221; he says. Mr. Wang, a 37-year-old peasant from Anhui Province, married his teenage sweetheart 16 years ago.</p>
<p>After repeated attempts for having babies failed, his wife was diagnosed as having endometrial adhesion, which left her unable to carry a baby. &#8220;We&#8217;ve tried every possible solution, both from experts in big cities and folk remedies, but none of them ever worked,&#8221; Wang says. &#8220;Whenever we see couples with kids, we feel both envious and sad. We want a happy family, a family with a child.&#8221; The couple became subject of rumors in their village. &#8220;In the countryside, people are superstitious. When they notice you are still childless several years after marriage, they make up all kinds of stories.&#8221; The couple eventually left to find jobs in the city, and to get away from the pressure from family and gossips. Now a small businessman in Guangzhou, Wang and his wife are happier because they are expecting a baby, carried by a surrogate mother. &#8220;The pregnancy is already six months through now,&#8221; Wang says. &#8220;We don&#8217;t mind whether it&#8217;s a boy or a girl. We&#8217;re ecstatic that we are going to have a baby.&#8221; Wang first heard of surrogacy a couple of years ago, when one of his friends signed a surrogate mother through an agency and succeeded in parenting a baby girl. &#8220;I&#8217;ve got a lot of doubts in mind at the very beginning, the most important of which is whether the baby will be healthy. I&#8217;ve been witnessing my friend&#8217;s baby girl growing in perfect condition for two years,&#8221; Wang says. According to the Wangs&#8217; agreement with a surrogate mother, a 32-year-old divorcee who has a son of herself, the couple will pay100,000 yuan (14,706 U.S. dollars) upon the arrival of a newborn, plus a monthly allowance of 2,500 yuan (368 U.S. dollars) during her pregnancy. &#8220;We are very grateful to her, and I think it&#8217;s reasonable to pay her for bringing a baby into our live,&#8221; Wang says. The total cost amounts to more than 200,000 yuan (29,412 U.S. dollars), including medical expenses, in-vitro fertilization and delivery, and a nanny to take care of the surrogate mother. Wang says his wife visits the surrogate mother almost every week. The couple is still concerned that she will become too attached to the to-be-born, although she has learnt from the beginning that it was their child and she was just helping them. Xiao Luo feels the same. She has never seen the baby girl after delivery as agreed in advance with the parents. &#8220;Sometimes I would wonder how she looks like. She should be happy together with her loving parents,&#8221; she says. With growing demands for surrogate mothers, underground networks of surrogacy agents have spread over the recent years, making lucrative profits. For Lu&#8217;s agency, commission fee ranges from 12,000 to 15,000 yuan (1,765 to 2,206 U.S. dollars) for one surrogate mother. Two types of surrogacy are in service at the moment: one through in-vitro fertilization with the clients&#8217; eggs and sperms; the other through test-tube fertilization with eggs from surrogate mothers. To avoid disputes, Lu&#8217;s agency has denied requests for surrogacy with donated eggs because of the high risk of the surrogate mother becoming too attached to the child to give it away. Source:Xinhua The legitimacy of surrogacy in China is open to question. In 2001, the Ministry of Health issued regulations on human assisted reproduction technology, which prohibits medical institutions and medical workers from conducting any kind of surrogacy treatments. However, surrogacy agencies argue they are exempt from the regulations, which only ban medical institutions and medical workers from conducting surrogacy treatments. Lu, whose agency has successfully helped with more than 2,000 surrogate children, declines to give any information about where and how the treatments are conducted. His agency charges 20,000 to70,000 yuan (2,941 to 10.294 U.S. dollars) for matchmaking hospitals with clients, according to the agency&#8217;s website. Professor Li Benfu, medical ethics expert at Peking University Health Science Center, says the surrogacy is very risky with the current legal status and will lead to serious problems, with commercial surrogacy in particular. &#8220;There&#8217;s always risk of complications or even death for the pregnant women and the risk of a baby born with birth defects,&#8221; says Li. &#8220;the problem is who will take responsibility if these situations occur?&#8221; But Li also acknowledges the fact that some women cannot bear a child by themselves even though they produce healthy eggs. &#8220;Banning surrogacy virtually deprives these women of the right to reproduction,&#8221; he says. He suggests making rules for surrogacy instead of completely banning it. But with the number of surrogate birth is still very small, the prospect of a safe legal framework remains distant, he says. Lu agrees: &#8220;There should be specific regulations regarding surrogacy agencies. For example, health authorities can set strict standards and issue certificates to qualified agencies.&#8221; Liang Xiao, partner at a law firm based in Foshan, Guangdong Province, has received a couple seeking for legal advice about their dispute with a surrogate mother, a divorced woman who bore a baby with the couple&#8217;s sperm and egg but refused to give them the child after delivery as agreed. &#8220;They did not file a lawsuit in the end, but the case raised a lot of concerns,&#8221; Liang says. Current Chinese laws did not apply to the case, Liang says. A circular issued by the Supreme People&#8217;s Court states that if a married couple agree to have artificial fertilization, the child is regarded as their marital child and their rights and duties are subject to the Marriage Law. &#8220;But the parentage of children carried by surrogate mothers has yet been defined by law, thus causing disputes,&#8221; Liang says. He suggests that it is necessary to notarize surrogacy agreements by official institutions, in addition to technical regulations defining which organizations are allowed to conduct surrogacy treatment, as well as strict management and supervision of the medical institutions and professionals. Liang argues the regulations should make it a rule that couples seeking for surrogacy must prove they are legally married and the wife is unable to bear a child, and those who violate the regulations should be severely punished. &#8220;Because this problem hasn&#8217;t yet sparked widespread social interest, so the government hasn&#8217;t started doing anything about it,&#8221; says Lu Jinfeng. To legislate surrogacy is not yet on the agenda, according to the information office of the Ministry of Health. Medical institutions and doctors that perform surrogacy operations can be fined up to 30,000 yuan (4,412 U.S. dollars), according to current regulations on human-assisted reproduction technology. The Ministry has no figures of institutions or medical staff that have been punished since the regulations took effect in 2001. However, an official from a district family-planning office in Guangzhou who asks not to be named, says doctors who perform in-vitro fertilizations get bonuses of about 40,000 yuan (5,882 U.S. dollars) and the surrogacy industry is valued in the millions of yuan each year. In February last year, the family-planning office found three women in a communal flat were acting as &#8220;illegal&#8221; surrogates and all of them had &#8220;agreed&#8221; to undergo &#8220;remedial measures&#8221; in accordance with the law, said the official. Existing in a gray zone, surrogacy agencies are alleged to have arranged prostitution, and blackmailed or defrauded clients. &#8220;It is high time for the government to map out surrogacy regulations and clean up the industry, says Lu, &#8220;we are willing to come under supervision and sunshine.&#8221; But he says commercial surrogacy should never be allowed. &#8220;Some rich women rent a womb simply because they want to keep fit &#8212; that is absolutely not acceptable.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Opting in vs. Opting Out: Economic perspective on organ donation</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2009/09/27/opting-in-vs-opting-out-economic-perspective-on-organ-donation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2009/09/27/opting-in-vs-opting-out-economic-perspective-on-organ-donation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 27 Sep 2009 18:28:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Organ Donation and Transplants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resource Allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk Exposure & Bioethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social Matters]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1498</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[NYTimes] When Steven P. Jobs, Apple’s chief executive, appeared in public recently for the first time in months, he revealed that he had received a liver transplant from the victim of a car crash. “I wouldn’t be here without such generosity,” Mr. Jobs said, adding that he hoped that many people would become organ donors.  [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="TEXT-ALIGN: left"><img class="alignleft" style="border: 0px;" src="http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2009/09/25/business/27view190.1.jpg" border="0" alt="" width="190" height="191" />[<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/27/business/economy/27view.html?_r=1&amp;ref=health">NYTimes</a>] When <span style="color: #000000;"><span>Steven P. Jobs</span>, Apple’s chief executive, appeared in public recently for the first time in months,</span> he revealed that he had received a <a title="In-depth reference and news articles about Liver transplant." href="http://health.nytimes.com/health/guides/surgery/liver-transplant/overview.html?inline=nyt-classifier"><span style="color: #004276;">liver transplant</span></a> from the victim of a car crash. “I wouldn’t be here without such generosity,” Mr. Jobs said, adding that he hoped that many people would become organ donors. <span style="color: #004276;"> </span>With the help of a little behavioral economics, it is possible to make that hope a reality.</p>
<p>More than 20,000 organ transplants take place every year in the United States, with a vast majority coming from deceased donors. Demand greatly exceeds supply: in 2006, for example, 3,916 patients died while waiting for kidneys, according to the <a title="Information sheet on transplants." href="http://www.kidney.org/news/newsroom/fs_new/25factsorgdon&amp;trans.cfm"><span style="color: #004276;">National Kidney Foundation</span></a>.</p>
<p>Some economists have come up with a simple solution: a market allowing the buying and selling of organs. Because people have two kidneys and need only one to live, a robust market could greatly increase supply.</p>
<p>The idea may have some merit, but it is spectacularly unpopular. As the Harvard economist Alvin Roth has noted, many people consider it “repugnant,” mainly for two reasons. First, they object to the possibility of <strong>rich people buying their way to the front of the line</strong>. (The hospital where Mr. Jobs’s procedure took place said he received the liver transplant because he was the sickest person on its waiting list who matched the donor’s blood type.) Second, they object to incentives that would <strong>induce the poor to sell their kidneys</strong>.</p>
<p>These objections can lead to some logical quandaries. Why, for example, is it O.K. for a parent to donate a kidney to save a child’s life but not for her to sell her kidney, thereby also saving a life? And why is it acceptable to risk your life for money, say, by becoming a <a title="More articles about coal." href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/c/coal/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier"><span style="color: #004276;">coal</span></a> miner, but not by selling a kidney? <span id="more-1498"></span></p>
<p>Still, whether you think a legal market for organs is a brilliant or a dreadful idea, it’s a political nonstarter, so it is important to obtain donors from another possible source: patients who have been declared “brain dead” but are being kept alive temporarily.</p>
<p>Nationwide, roughly 12,000 to 15,000 people fall into this category each year, but only half end up as donors. Because each such donor could supply an average of three organs, having another thousand donors could save 3,000 lives. We need more people to agree to be donors in advance.</p>
<p>One strategy is to alter the default rules for signup. Most states, as well as many other countries, use an “opt in” or “explicit consent” rule, meaning that people must take a concrete action, like going to a public library or requesting and mailing in a form, to declare they want to be donors. But many who are willing to donate organs never get around to such steps.</p>
<p>An alternative approach, used in several European countries, is an “opt out” rule, often called “presumed consent,” in which citizens are presumed to be consenting donors unless they act to register their unwillingness.</p>
<p>In the world of traditional economics, it shouldn’t matter whether you use an opt-in or opt-out system. So long as the costs of registering as a donor or a nondonor are low, the results should be similar. But many findings of behavioral economics show that tiny disparities in such rules can make a big difference.</p>
<p>By comparing the consent rates in European countries, the <a title="Recent and archival health news about psychologists." href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/health/diseasesconditionsandhealthtopics/psychology_and_psychologists/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier"><span style="color: #004276;">psychologists</span></a> Eric Johnson and Dan Goldstein have shown that the choice of opting in or opting out is a major factor.</p>
<p>Consider the difference in consent rates between two similar countries, Austria and Germany. In Germany, which uses an opt-in system, only 12 percent give their consent; in Austria, which uses opt-out, nearly everyone (99 percent) does.</p>
<p>Although presumed consent is generally accepted in countries that have adopted it, the idea can bring strong opposition. Many people object to anyone presuming anything about their organs, even if the costs of opting out are low. In Britain, a proposal by the Labour government to adopt an opt-out system was opposed by Muslims who objected to organ removal on religious grounds.</p>
<p>Fortunately, there is another possibility, called “mandated choice,” under which people must indicate their preference. In Illinois, where I live, this system has been in use since 2006 and doesn’t seem to have ruffled many feathers.</p>
<p>Here is how it works: When you go to renew your driver’s license and update your photograph, you are required to answer this question: “Do you wish to be an organ donor?” The state now has a 60 percent donor signup rate, according to <a title="Donate Life Illinois Web site." href="http://www.donatelifeillinois.org/"><span style="color: #004276;">Donate Life Illinois</span></a>, a coalition of agencies. That is much higher than the national rate of 38 percent reported by <a title="Donate Life America report.." href="http://www.donatelife.net/pdfs/DLA_Report_Card_2009.pdf"><span style="color: #004276;">Donate Life America</span></a></p>
<p>The Illinois system has another advantage. There can be legal conflicts over whether registering intent is enough to qualify you as an organ donor or whether a doctor must still ask your family’s permission. In France, for example, although there is technically a presumed-consent law, in practice doctors still seek relatives’ approval. In Illinois, the First-Person Consent Law, which created this system, makes one’s wishes to be a donor legally binding. Thus, mandated choice may achieve a higher rate of donations than presumed consent, and avoid upsetting those who object to presumed consent for whatever reasons. This is a winning combination.</p>
<p>THE key, however, is to make signup easy, and requiring people to make a choice is just one way to accomplish it. The private sector could help create other simple methods. Here is a challenge to Mr. Jobs: Why not create a Web site — and a free app for the <a title="Recent and archival news about the iPhone." href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/i/iphone/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier"><span style="color: #004276;">iPhone</span></a> — that lets people sign up as organ donors in their home states?</p>
<p>At the same time, he’d need to work with the states to create the technology for a secure, simple signup procedure. Social networking sites like <a title="More articles about Facebook." href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/facebook_inc/index.html?inline=nyt-org"><span style="color: #004276;">Facebook</span></a> could also help, by encouraging signup campaigns.</p>
<p>Many Americans say they want to be organ donors, but they just don’t get around to acting on their intentions. Helping these potential good Samaritans overcome their inertia could prolong thousands of lives a year. Signing up to be an organ donor should be at least as easy as downloading a song to your iPhone.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="authorId">
<p>Richard H. Thaler is a professor of economics and behavioral science at the Booth School of Business at the University of Chicago.</p></div>
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		<title>How Healthcare Reform Could Affect Physicians</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2009/09/16/how-healthcare-reform-could-affect-physicians/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2009/09/16/how-healthcare-reform-could-affect-physicians/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 10:10:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resource Allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk Exposure & Bioethics]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/?p=1464</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[medscape] As US leaders tackle healthcare reform, many conflicting goals and interests vie for supremacy.
Although the overall aim is to lower the nation&#8217;s healthcare costs and create access to healthcare for America&#8217;s 46 million uninsured, many aspects of the plans could have a huge impact on physicians.
Several healthcare reform plans are being proposed. Major discussions [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[<a href="http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/708256?src=mp&amp;spon=21&amp;uac=105808FV">medscape</a>] As US leaders tackle healthcare reform, many conflicting goals and interests vie for supremacy.</p>
<p>Although the overall aim is to lower the nation&#8217;s healthcare costs and create access to healthcare for America&#8217;s 46 million uninsured, many aspects of the plans could have a huge impact on physicians.</p>
<p>Several healthcare reform plans are being proposed. Major discussions now revolve around elements in the Affordable Health Choices Act of 2009 (H.R. 3200), passed on July 31, 2009 by the House Energy and Commerce Committee.</p>
<p>The proposed plan is over 1000 pages long and addresses numerous aspects of healthcare. Some are generally considered beneficial, such as preventing insurers from denying coverage for previously existing conditions. Other features may run counter to physician interests.</p>
<p>Here is how the 3 major points of H.R. 3200 could affect physicians.</p>
<h4>Public Option Plan</h4>
<p><strong>Summary:</strong> The government will develop low-premium insurance coverage to be offered to the public to compete with employer-sponsored plans. The public option will be a popular low-cost alternative and is intended to spur private insurance companies to lower their premiums to stay competitive.</p>
<p>Until mid-August, the intention was for reimbursement, rates to providers would be based on Medicare rates. However, in the newest development, the government would negotiate reimbursement rates directly with physicians. The rates could not be lower than Medicare rates, but couldn&#8217;t be higher than the average rates paid by provider plans.</p>
<p>The public option insurance plan would be required to pay for itself through premiums collected. It would not be funded by the US Treasury.</p>
<p>The plan would be optional for providers, who could choose whether or not to participate (Table 1).</p>
<p><strong>Table 1. Pros and Cons of the Public Plan Option</strong></p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="3">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Those Opposed Say:</th>
<th>Those in Favor Say:</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">The government plan will offer premiums so low that they&#8217;ll ultimately push out other plans, effectively leaving a single payer. This would create a virtual monopoly, and the government plan would have no competition as far as fixing reimbursement rates.</td>
<td valign="top">A lower-cost insurance will enable coverage for many people who cannot currently afford coverage.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">Even with competition, the government is dominant enough to require lower prices from physicians and hospitals.</td>
<td valign="top">If private plans lower their premiums in response to competition, that is good for the public.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">As private insurance companies try to compete with the government plan, they will likely reduce premiums, but will do so by reducing payments to providers.</td>
<td valign="top">The government public insurance plan would be required to cover essential benefits.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">Employers may ultimately drop the private insurance company coverage they now offer in favor of the lower-cost government plan. This would reduce the options available to the public, and deny many people continued coverage in plans they&#8217;re happy with.</td>
<td valign="top">If the country eventually had a single-payer plan, this would be more efficient and spare physicians a lot of administrative paperwork.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">If the public option insurance plan offers low reimbursements to physicians, this will encourage physicians to refuse to take patients where the cost of care will exceed payment.</td>
<td valign="top">Physicians are not required to participate in the plan.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">Some providers have worried that such a plan will lead to rationing of care that is based on cost. Although H.R. 3200 does not give authority to ration or limit care on the basis of cost per se, there are other metrics on which rationing is more likely, and some may correlate with cost.</td>
<td valign="top">H.R. 3200 does not give authority to ration or limit care on the basis of cost, and acceptance/denial decisions are expected to be transparent.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><strong> Individual Mandate</strong></p>
<p><strong>Summary:</strong> This element would require all individuals to have &#8220;acceptable health coverage.&#8221; People would be required to carry at least a minimal catastrophic policy to prevent catastrophic medical bills that bankrupt a percentage of US citizens each year.<span id="more-1464"></span></p>
<p>Anyone without coverage will be charged a penalty of up to 2.5% of their modified adjusted gross income (up to the cost of the average national premium).</p>
<p>With the government insurance plan option, it is considered that carrying health insurance will be less of a burden for people who currently avoid health coverage because of cost (Table 2).</p>
<p><strong>Table 2. Pros and Cons of the Individual Mandate Plan</strong></p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="3">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Those Opposed Say:</th>
<th>Those in Favor Say:</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">As huge numbers of people who were not previously covered get insurance, the patient load in physician offices could double or triple. This could potentially force physicians to ration care.</td>
<td valign="top">An individual mandate is a positive element of healthcare reform. This will prevent people who cannot pay their medical bills from going bankrupt, forcing foreclosures, etc.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">Some physicians have said that inferior patient care could result. Because physicians cannot see all new patients, other healthcare providers would fill the void. Many are less well trained to recognize and manage patients with sicker cases and unusual presentations.</td>
<td valign="top">The results of the individual mandate are superior to having uninsured people show up at emergency departments, use expensive hospital services, and pay nothing toward the bill. This can help with hospitals&#8217; &#8220;charitable care&#8221; and bad debt from patients who don&#8217;t pay.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">In order to create low-cost insurance for low-income individuals to purchase, insurers will need to keep payments to providers as low as possible.</td>
<td valign="top">This will enable patients to have conditions treated before they become even more serious and would cost the system more to treat.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p> </p>
<h4>Cost of Funding Healthcare Reform Plan</h4>
<p><strong>Summary:</strong> You won&#8217;t find many folks who deny that we need healthcare reform. Of course, expanded access to healthcare requires funding. Extended coverage to the uninsured has been estimated to cost in the range of $1 trillion over 10 years, and most of that will come from taxpayers. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has claimed that she will push to &#8220;drain&#8221; more savings from the medical industry &#8212; hospitals, pharmaceutical companies, and health insurers, which will help fund healthcare reform.</p>
<p>Although H.R. 3200 does not specify the funding, proposals for doing so are under discussion. Current recommendations are to tax the most affluent. Individuals earning over $280,000 and households earning over $350,000 would have to pay a 1% surtax. Households earning from $500,000 to $1 million would have to pay a 1.5% surtax. Those tax rates could increase to 2% and 3% if the government does not achieve targeted cost savings. Pelosi would like the trigger raised to $500,000 for individuals and households with an adjusted gross income of $1 million or more (Table 3).</p>
<p><strong>Table 3. Pros and Cons of the Cost of Funding Healthcare Reform Plan</strong></p>
<table border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="3">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Those Opposed Say:</th>
<th>Those in Favor Say:</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">Although physician incomes have been declining in recent years, $280,000 individual income is not out of line for many specialties and for high-earning primary care physicians or physicians holding directorial positions.</td>
<td valign="top">Because most Americans earn less than those amounts, it is not unreasonable to tax wealthier people when there is such a large disparity in income.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">Would hurt small business owners and demotivate them to grow their businesses if they will be paying more in taxes.</td>
<td valign="top">Taxing the wealthy helps lessen the tax bite on the middle class and lower class, who can less afford it.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">Taxing people who have huge educational debts and have worked hard to achieve a high income level is demotivating for American business people and for physicians who have achieved more credentials and expertise through hard work.</td>
<td><img src="http://img.medscape.com/ornament/spcms/spacer.gif" alt="" /></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">For physicians, this is money that they have earned, and many have gone deeply into dept through medical school and while earning minimum wage in residency. Taking it away is wrong, and fewer physicians will choose to go to medical school and remain in practice.</td>
<td><img src="http://img.medscape.com/ornament/spcms/spacer.gif" alt="" /></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top">Government programs typically cost even more than they were budgeted at, which means that the proposed surcharge taxes would jump to an even higher level.</td>
<td><img src="http://img.medscape.com/ornament/spcms/spacer.gif" alt="" /></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p> </p>
<h4>Other Key Points</h4>
<p>A number of physicians have castigated H.R. 3200 for the issues that it does <em>not</em> address:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Repayment of student loans:</strong> Repayment of student loans would help relieve numerous physicians of the financial pressures that they face. For new medical school graduates, student loans can range up to $225,000, according to<em> The New England Journal of Medicine</em>.</li>
<li><strong>Malpractice reform:</strong> H.R. 3200 does not address the malpractice issues that physicians face, and there appears to be no discussion of malpractice premiums, caps of awards, or other mechanisms to lessen the malpractice burden for physicians.</li>
</ul>
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<h4>Leslie R. Kane</h4>
<p>Consultant/Editorial Director, Medscape Business of Medicine</p>
<p>Disclosure: Leslie R. Kane, has disclosed no relevant financial relationships.</p></div>
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		<title>Healthy Skepticism: Recent Poll Shows Patients Questioning Physician Referrals</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2009/07/22/healthy-skepticism-recent-poll-shows-patients-questioning-physician-referrals/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2009/07/22/healthy-skepticism-recent-poll-shows-patients-questioning-physician-referrals/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2009 16:28:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Miller, Bioethicist</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bioethics News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[(Business Wire) At a time when the competition between hospitals is at a fevered pitch, a new survey of 800 Massachusetts adults shows that consumers are questioning the longstanding practice of taking their doctor’s advice about where to go for medical care. They also are conducting their own research to determine where to receive their [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/bigstockphoto_trust_70860.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1296" title="trust_image" src="http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/bigstockphoto_trust_70860-300x225.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="225" /></a>(<a href="http://www.virtualpressoffice.com/publicsiteContentFileAccess/145898/145898.html/?fileContentId=145898&amp;fileName=145898.html&amp;fromOtherPageToDisableHistory=Y">Business Wire</a>) At a time when the competition between hospitals is at a fevered pitch, a new survey of 800 Massachusetts adults shows that consumers are questioning the longstanding practice of taking their doctor’s advice about where to go for medical care. They also are conducting their own research to determine where to receive their care.</p>
<p>The survey was conducted by Boston-based brand communications firm <a href="http://cts.businesswire.com/ct/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.partnersandsimons.com&amp;esheet=6011667&amp;lan=en_US&amp;anchor=PARTNERS%2Bsimons&amp;index=1">PARTNERS+simons</a> in June. The firm conducted an online survey of 800 people throughout Massachusetts between the ages of 25-65. These people were asked about their healthcare decision-making, and how they search for information about hospitals and doctors.</p>
<p>Surprisingly, <strong>only 24% trust their doctor completely to make the right decisions</strong> in terms of where they should go to receive medical care. When faced with choosing a hospital, <strong>only 5% agreed that hospitals are doing an excellent job</strong> educating them about why that facility is better than any another. That’s a provocative finding since a whopping 98% of respondents feel that, regardless of what people might say, not all hospitals deliver the same quality of care. <span id="more-1295"></span></p>
<p>The survey also notes that:</p>
<ul>
<li class="bwlistitemmarginbottom">58% of the respondents feel patients and their families should be actively involved in selecting the right hospital.</li>
<li class="bwlistitemmarginbottom">50% feel they need more and better information about quality and safety being delivered by doctors and hospitals.</li>
<li class="bwlistitemmarginbottom">Today’s healthcare consumer is much more active than their parents were – respondents said they are 78% more likely to research information on physicians, and 75% more likely to evaluate treatment approaches.</li>
</ul>
<p>”The physician referral system has been in place for a long time, and this study does not suggest it has become obsolete. But consumers are clearly beginning to question authority,” said Tony Cotrupi, President and head of the Health practice at PARTNERS+simons. “There is a profound opportunity for hospitals to better articulate their clinical expertise and commitment to the patient experience. The ones that meet this need for information will make patients less skeptical and, more importantly, true advocates for the hospital.”</p>
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		<title>Experts Disagree On Whether Healthy People Should Take Brain Boosting Drugs</title>
		<link>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2009/06/23/experts-disagree-on-whether-healthy-people-should-take-brain-boosting-drugs/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bioethicsinternational.org/blog/2009/06/23/experts-disagree-on-whether-healthy-people-should-take-brain-boosting-drugs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2009 10:00:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrea Fletcher</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[[Medical News Today] It is unethical to stop healthy people from taking methylphenidate (Ritalin) to enhance their mental performance, says John Harris, Professor of Bioethics at the University of Manchester, in an article published on bmj.com today. He adds that society &#8220;ought to want [enhancement]&#8221; and that &#8220;it is not rational to be against human enhancement.&#8221; 
In total [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/154835.php">[Medical News Today]</a> It is unethical to stop healthy people from taking methylphenidate (<a title="More information on Ritalin LA (methylphenidate HCl). External link" href="http://www.medilexicon.com/drugs/ritalin_la.php" target="_blank">Ritalin</a>) to enhance their mental performance, says John Harris, Professor of Bioethics at the University of Manchester, in an article published on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.bmj.com/" target="_blank">bmj.com</a> today. He adds that society &#8220;ought to want [enhancement]&#8221; and that &#8220;it is not rational to be against human enhancement.&#8221; </p>
<p>In total disagreement, Professor Anjan Chatterjee from the University of Pennsylvania argues that there are too many risks in taking Ritalin unless you are actually ill. He notes that the Food and Drug Administration labelled it with a &#8220;black box&#8221; the most alarming of possible warnings. This is because there is a high potential for abuse, dependence, risk of sudden death and serious adverse effects on the heart, he says. <span id="more-1090"></span></p>
<p>Chatterjee adds that there are cognitive trade-offs by taking Ritalin, for example a loss in creativity. He points out that &#8220;being smarter does not mean being wiser&#8221; and cites the very smart people who developed ways to distribute financial risk which in turn contributed to the current global economic crisis. </p>
<p>Professor Chatterjee is also concerned about the end-goal of taking drugs to enhance cognitive abilities. He not only fears that children at top preparatory schools will end up taking Ritalin in &#8220;epidemic proportions&#8221; but asks whether pilots, the police and doctors on-call be pressurised into taking these drugs? </p>
<p>In conclusion, Chatterjee does not believe it is acceptable to recommend that healthy people take Ritalin to enhance performance until proper safeguards are in place. Professor Harris, on the other hand, believes that these arguments are not persuasive. </p>
<p>Harris on the contrary emphasises personal liberty and public safety. As no drug is side effect free, Harris believes Ritalin is &#8220;safe enough&#8221; given that children and young people with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder are routinely treated for long periods with it. </p>
<p>Professor Harris adds that &#8220;humans are creatures that result from an enhancement process called evolution and moreover are inveterate self-improvers in every conceivable way.&#8221; </p>
<p>Harris argues that change or progress often carries risk. The development of &#8220;synthetic sunshine&#8221; (firelights, lamplight and electric light), for example, could have forced people to work through the night. However, the answer was not to outlaw synthetic sunshine but to introduce laws to regulate working hours. &#8220;The same is or will be true of chemical cognitive enhancers,&#8221; he says. </p>
<p>-<em>British Medical Journal</em></p>
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